Ask the Commish.Com

The Fantasy Advisors

     

2024 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents


Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2024 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

2023 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2023 Most Targets
-2023 Most Carries
-2023 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2023 Redzone Passing
-2023 Redzone Rushing
-2023 Redzone Receiving
-2023 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2024
Draft Kit

WR Moving Truck Tracker

 

Williams, Mike - NYJ

Williams, Mike

Williams went down to a left ACL tear in Week 3 last season while with the Chargers, so he was never a likely candidate to be ready for OTAs. The start of training camp in July could represent a better target for Williams, though the Jets haven't offered an official estimate for his return timeline. On the plus side, Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) is participating in OTAs without any setbacks, so Williams will be able to start building chemistry with his new quarterback as soon as he gains clearance. The big-bodied 29-year-old will complement top wideout Garrett Wilson as the No. 2 option for New York once healthy.


Boyd, Tyler - TEN

Boyd, Tyler

Tyler Boyd had 67 receptions on 98 targets, totaling 667 receiving yards at an average of 10 yards per catch, with a long catch of 64 yards. Boyd found the end zone twice. Over 17 games, Boyd earned 112.3 fantasy points, averaging 6.6 points per game as the WR64 in points per game. He will likely be a nice depth piece for the Titans in 2024, and possibly provide some early in-season production as he turns 30 years old.


Gallup, Michael - LV

Gallup, Michael

Signed with the Raiders in free agency after being released by the Dallas Cowboys.


Johnson, Diontae - CAR

Johnson, Diontae

Before the switch to Mason Rudolph from Week 7-13 (when Diontae Johnson returned healthy), DJ led the team with a 26% target share and 9.2 points/game. After Johnson returned from his injury in Week 7, he was very effective with a 23% target share while scoring 5 TDs averaging 14 expected fantasy points per game. Despite the Steelers' offensive transitions and his own injuries to overcome, Johnson maintained his productivity, finishing the season with 127.2 fantasy points, averaging 10 points per game - 36th in points per game. Now in Carolina, Johnson will project for a boatload of targets in an offense that fueled Adam Thielen to WR25 finish. Johnson will be at worst a fantasy WR3 with potential ceiling unlocked if Bryce Young can take a step forward in 2024.


DIGGS, STEFON - HOU

DIGGS, STEFON

Stefon Diggs faced a challenging 2023 season, finishing as WR10 overall but averaging just 13 points per game, landing him as WR15 in half-point scoring. His performance waned significantly from Week 10 onwards, averaging a mere 7.3 points and 42 receiving yards per game. Despite maintaining a near 30% target share and accumulating over 1,800 air yards for the season, Diggs struggled to deliver consistent fantasy production. With uncertainty surrounding his role in the Texans' offense and competition from Tank Dell and Nico Collins, fantasy managers may approach Diggs with caution entering his age 31 season.


Guyton, Jalen - LV

Guyton, Jalen

Guyton only suited up in eight games last season, registering 89 receiving yards and one touchdown on 10 receptions. He will likely compete for a depth role behind three strong veteran wide receiver options in the Raiders’ offense.


Davis, Gabe - JAC

Davis, Gabe

Davis left the Bills and joined the Jaguars this offseason. We expect Christian Kirk and Evan Engram to lead Jacksonville in targets, while Davis will battle Brian Thomas Jr. for targets on the outside. If Davis emerges as Trevor Lawrence's favorite downfield option then it is possible Davis can re-emerge as the boom-or-bust WR3 he's been in Buffalo. For now, we're not drafting Davis before Round 13 in most standard redraft leagues. He does have more appeal in Best Ball leagues, especially if you drafted Lawrence earlier as your quarterback. Davis is still worthy of a roster spot in most Dynasty leagues due to his big-play ability and the fact that he's still just 25 years old.


Mooney, Darnell - ATL

Mooney, Darnell

Darnell Mooney's potential as a FA steal in the upcoming season is evident despite a challenging and injury-marred previous campaign. His track record of commanding a significant target share of 27%, especially during his standout performances in 2021-2022, underscores his ability to thrive in an offense. With a clear path to the WR2 role in Atlanta's receiving corps, Mooney could emerge as a valuable asset, particularly in a case of an injury. Coupled with his impressive yards after the catch per reception, Mooney's presence adds depth and reliability to the upgraded Falcons' passing game.


Bateman, Rashod - BAL

Bateman, Rashod

The Baltimore Ravens signed wide receiver Rashod Bateman to a 2-year contract through the 2026 season. Ravens OC Todd Monken says he's seen "tremendous growth" from WR Bateman and expects him to receive the ball a lot this season per Ryan Mink, Editorial Director for the Ravens.


Moore, Rondale - ATL

Moore, Rondale

Moore never had the breakout fans hoped for, with his yards per route run dropping every season (1.65, 1.47 and 0.73, respectively). Despite his drop in efficiency, Moore still has a potential niche to fill in the NFL as an underneath, speedy YAC threat or as a pseudo-satellite back. If Atlanta can get creative with Moore's usage, he could provide further versatility to the offense.


Skowronek, Ben - HOU

Skowronek, Ben

Skowronek was originally expected to be released, but instead, the Rams received compensation for him, which involves a 6th and 7th-round pick swap between the Rams and the Texans in 2026. Skowronek joins a stacked wide receiver room in Houston, which includes Tank Dell, Nico Collins, and the newly acquired Stefon Diggs. Skowronek will likely be a depth piece in the Texans' wide receiver room, and won't be fantasy relevant in standard 12 team leagues.


ALLEN, KEENAN - CHI

ALLEN, KEENAN

Keenan Allen had a stellar 2023 season, ranking third in points per game and finishing as the WR8 overall, thanks in large part to his impressive 31% target share. Despite turning 32 in 2024, he displayed no signs of slowing down with Justin Herbert. However, his trade to the Bears presents new challenges, particularly with a downgrade in rookie QB play and stiff competition for targets from players like Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore. This shift in situation, coupled with Allen's age, raises concerns about his fantasy outlook for the upcoming season.


Samuel, Curtis - BUF

Samuel, Curtis

Samuel was one of five Commanders to catch four TD passes and otherwise finished second to Terry McLaurin in the major receiving categories. Second-year pro Jahan Dotson was a disappointment as the No. 2 receiver and took a step back from his rookie season, whereas Samuel's 2023 receiving numbers were nearly identical to those from 2022 (62-613-4 receiving line). A lack of rushing opportunities was the biggest change for the 27-year-old, as he got just seven carries under new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy after taking 37 the previous season. Bieniemy wasn't fired along with head coach Ron Rivera, but it's nonetheless possible Samuel ends up in a new offense for 2024 given that he's reached the end of his three-year contract. Groin and hamstring injuries limited him to 84 snaps in the first season of the deal, but he then missed just one game the past two years while handling snap shares of 71.4 percent (2022) and 55.5 percent (2023). Samuel shouldn't have too much trouble finding teams that are interested in signing him as a No. 3 receiver


Osborn, K.J. - NE

Osborn, K.J.

Osborn signed with the Patriots this offseason, and he's expected to compete for a prominent role in a crowded receiving corps. Osborn is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues, but he could emerge as a waiver-wire option during the season. Osborn will compete for targets with Demario Douglas, Tyquan Thornton, Kendrick Bourne, JuJu Smith-Schuster and rookies Ja'Lynn Polk and Javon Baker, assuming everyone makes the final roster. For Osborn, he was a productive receiver at times in Minnesota for the past three seasons, but he never posted consistent production, averaging 9.3 PPR points per game or less in every year. We'll see if Drake Maye or Jacoby Brissett develop a rapport with Osborn, and if he starts earning consistent targets then add him off waivers during the year.


Jeudy, Jerry - CLE

Jeudy, Jerry

Jerry Jeudy secured 54 receptions for 758 receiving yards in the 2023 season with the Broncos. Despite his yardage production, Jeudy struggled to find the end zone, recording only two touchdowns throughout the year. His fantasy performance landed him as the WR50 overall, emphasizing the need for improved quarterback play in his first season with the Browns to elevate his fantasy value beyond the WR3 tier. Based on the contract Jeudy signed - 3-years and $52.5 million - it's his job to lose as the WR2 versus Elijah Moore.


Wilson Jr., Cedrick - NO

Wilson Jr., Cedrick

Wilson joined the Saints in the offseason, but we do not anticipate that will have a positive impact on his Fantasy value. Until he receives meaningful playing time, Fantasy managers shouldn't bother adding him to their rosters.


Reynolds, Josh - DEN

Reynolds, Josh

Reynolds is coming off arguably a career-year, posting 608 receiving yards on 40 catches (both second-best) with five touchdowns (tied for career-best). Reynolds can provide another outside receiver who can threaten the boundary and attack defenses deep, pairing with Courtland Sutton in an offense that’s short on weapons.


Brown, Hollywood - KC

Brown, Hollywood

Now heading into his age-27 season on a one-year, $7 million contract with the Chiefs, Brown is facing an intriguing fantasy opportunity if he can manage to separate himself from the pack in Kansas City's wide receiver corps, so it's encouraging to see him building some momentum early. Meanwhile, Rashee Rice appears likely to face a suspension at some point during the 2024 season, while rookie second-round pick Xavier Worthy (hamstring) currently is sidelined and could miss a notable portion of OTAs.


Williams, Jameson - DET

Williams, Jameson

Jameson Williams has faced challenges in his first two years in the NFL, including a torn ACL in his rookie season and a slow start due to a suspension in his second year. While he has displayed flashes of big-play potential, injuries and inconsistencies have hampered his progress. Heading into his third year, Williams is expected to take on a larger role in the Lions' offense with the WR2 position likely up for grabs. However, his limited target share and inconsistent performance in 2023 raise questions about his potential breakout. Williams may be overrated based on his draft capital, and he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps in Detroit. Still, it's noteworthy that his HC has already labeled Jamo as the team's most improved player this offseason. Year 3 seems like it will be a career-best for the former Alabama product.


Campbell, Parris - PHI

Campbell, Parris

Campbell, who spent 2023 with the Giants, spent four years with the Colts to begin his career. His best season came in 2022 when he had 63 catches, 623 yards and three TDs in Indy. However, he caught just 20 passes as a member of a depleted WR group in New York in 2023. The Eagles brought in Campbell and DeVante Parker to help find a reliable WR3 to pair with A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.


Chark, DJ - LAC

Chark, DJ

Chark closed out his first Panthers season by setting the pace in receiving yards and targets on the afternoon while also sharing the team lead in receptions. Like all other Carolina pass catchers, Chark was partly a victim of rookie first overall pick's Bryce Young's shortcomings under center, and he put together an unremarkable 35-525-5 line across 15 games. Chark still displayed plenty of downfield chops and will still be just 27 when next season begins, but it remains to be seen if there will be mutual interest between him and the Panthers in a reunion after he played on a one-year deal in 2023.


St. Brown, Equanimeous - NO

St. Brown, Equanimeous

St. Brown was most valuable as a blocker, which explains why he was targeted six times in seven games played despite being on the field between 37 and 59 percent of the snaps in each contest he suited up for. The veteran ended the season with five catches for 62 yards. After two seasons with Chicago and five years in the league, St. Brown is an unrestricted free agent.


BECKHAM JR., ODELL - MIA

BECKHAM JR., ODELL

Beckham signed a one-year deal with the Dolphins this offseason, and he'll be the No. 3 receiver in Miami behind Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Beckham should only be drafted with a late-round pick in the majority of leagues. At 31, Beckham's best days are behind him, and he'll struggle for targets in Miami as long as Hill and Waddle are healthy. Beckham spent 2023 in Baltimore, and he only averaged 7.7 PPR points per game, including just four games with at least 11 PPR points. We'll see if a change of scenery and a move to a more pass-friendly offense helps Beckham improve his Fantasy stock, but it's hard to expect much from him at this point in his career.


Ridley, Calvin - TEN

Ridley, Calvin

Calvin Ridley caught 76 passes on 136 targets for 1,016 yards in his lone season as a Jaguar. With nearly 1,800 air yards, he boasted a 22.5% target share and 36% air yards share, finding the end zone 8 times. He ranked as WR17 overall (11.3 points/ game, WR26) positioning him as a low-end WR2 in fantasy. Ridley led the league in end zone targets (24) but fell short of fully capitalizing on his elite opportunities for a fantasy WR1 season. Now with the Titans alongside veterans DeAndre Hopkins and Tyler Boyd, he enters a potentially more pass-centric offense under new head coach Brian Callahan and second-year QB Will Levis, offering opportunities for increased production.


Claypool, Chase - BUF

Claypool, Chase

Claypool has been on three different teams over the past two seasons, and now he's signing a one-year deal to join the Bills. He has totaled just 528 yards and two touchdowns over the past couple of seasons, but with Buffalo being thin at the wide receiver position, he may have a chance to make an impact. The added depth is good for QB Josh Allen, who will be without both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis for the first time in several years.


HOLLINS, MACK - BUF

HOLLINS, MACK

Mack Hollins is entering his age 31 season (wait what) and signed with the Buffalo Bills this offseason, presumably to operate as a field-stretcher and downfield blocker. Our new cardio king. Hollins has only had one productive season in the NFL (2022 with the Raiders as the fantasy WR41) when finished 10th in routes run per dropbacks (93%) and commanded 1,153 air yards as the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver. The journeyman new landing spot will likely be completely overlooked by fantasy managers, but a WR running a route on 90% or more of Josh Allen's dropbacks (the Gabe Davis role) is pretty tantalizing, especially at a free price tag. Just don't get carried away with Hollins as anything more than a depth fantasy WR4/5 a best. Worth an addition in deeper WR formats.


DORSETT, PHILLIP - DEN

DORSETT, PHILLIP

Phillip Dorsett II signs with BroncosThe Denver Broncos signed WR Phillip Dorsett II.Fantasy ImpactThe Broncos sign Dorsett just a few days after they released him. He will compete for a roster spot throughout camp.


Valdes-Scantling, Marquez - BUF

Valdes-Scantling, Marquez

MVS recorded 315 receiving yards and one touchdown on 21 receptions during the Chiefs’ regular season in 2023. The 29-year-old will join a reworked wide receiver group that will look to build chemistry with QB Josh Allen.


Jones, Zay - ARI

Jones, Zay

Zay Jones' 2023 season was marred by injuries, limiting his impact to just 34 receptions for 321 yards and 2 touchdowns in 9 games. Despite the challenges, his performance in the final four games hinted at his potential when healthy, averaging 8 fantasy points and just south of 10 targets/game. His signing with the Arizona Cardinals after being released presents a fresh opportunity, and if he can maintain his health, he could become a valuable asset in their offense as No. 3 option.




Previous   Next

© 2024 ATC All rights reserved.