-2020 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
MOCK DRAFT
Ask the Commish.Com 2020 Draft Kit
Drew Brees is returning for his 20th season and should be drafted in the later rounds as a low-end starting quarterback. Brees has arguably his best collection of weapons ever with Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, Emmanuel Sanders and Jared Cook, but he's not exactly risk free. For one thing, he's 41 years old and Father Time remains undefeated. Also, the Saints have shown a preference for being more run-heavy later in Brees' career, which hurt his production in 2017 and 2018. There's also the Taysom Hill problem, which can be annoying. All that being said, he was the third-best quarterback in Fantasy over the final seven weeks of 2019 and hasn't shown signs of slowing down yet.
What's to doubt about Russell Wilson? He's finished as a top eight Fantasy quarterback in five of his past six seasons with at least eight 20-plus point Fantasy games in each. He's thrown for at least 31 touchdowns for three straight years (and four of five), and he has a receiving corps that appears to be among the most dangerous he's ever had. Furthermore, Wilson may have to throw a little more than perhaps his coaching staff would normally like because of the Seahawks' struggling defense, a schedule riddled with offensive firepower and a run game that may not be as reliable as it was before. There aren't many "safe" picks in a Fantasy Football draft, but Wilson easily stands out as one of them once you get to Round 6.
There are only two questions about Patrick Mahomes this season: 1) Should he be the first quarterback drafted in all leagues? 2) When should he come off the board? We know Mahomes is a star with what he's done the past two seasons. He won the NFL MVP in 2018 and the Super Bowl MVP in 2019. Now, his Fantasy campaign in 2019 wasn't great while he played through an ankle injury suffered early in the year and then missed two games with a knee injury. Still, he averaged 23.4 Fantasy points per game and had six games with at least 25 points. You can debate Mahomes vs. Lamar Jackson as the No. 1 quarterback this season, but we like Mahomes better in leagues with six points for passing touchdowns (Jackson is better in leagues with four points for passing scores). And while Mahomes may be a first-round selection in many Fantasy leagues, we recommend drafting him in Round 2. He has all his top weapons back in Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman and Damien Williams, and Mahomes just got another new toy in rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Mahomes has shown he's the best quarterback in the NFL now and should have another stellar season.
After averaging 31.5 Fantasy points per game in 2019, there really isn't much else to say about Jackson being the most wanted quarterback in drafts. But will he really throw a touchdown every 11.1 pass attempts again, or average 6.9 yards per run again? No doubt, Jackson is too athletic and the Ravens offense too savvy for Jackson to completely fall off, but it feels a little short-sighted to expect a repeat performance. NFL defenses on the Ravens 2020 schedule will be better prepared for him, just as defenses have adjusted to breakout quarterbacks in the past. Additionally, you should know that no one has repeated as the No. 1 Fantasy quarterback in consecutive seasons since the mid-2000s. Savvier Fantasy managers would wait until mid-Round 2 at the absolute earliest to take Jackson, which basically means they won't get him since he'll likely carry a consensus first-round draft average. Our analysts prefer Patrick Mahomes over Jackson anyway. Let other people take him too soon and miss out on elite-caliber players at other positions. Obviously the conversation changes if you can start multiple quarterbacks in your league - Jackson is worthy of a pick as soon as fifth overall in that case.