Ask the Commish.Com

The Fantasy Advisors

     

2017 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2017 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

2016 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2016 Most Targets
-2016 Most Carries
-2016 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2016 Redzone Passing
-2016 Redzone Rushing
-2016 Redzone Receiving
-2016 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

RB 2nd Year Players

 

Brown, Malcolm - LAR

Brown, Malcolm

Malcolm Brown could open the season as the No. 2 running back for the Rams behind Todd Gurley. Lance Dunbar will also be in the mix, but Brown would likely benefit most if Gurley got hurt. He didn't play much in 2016 as the No. 3 running back behind Gurley and Benny Cunningham with 18 carries for 39 yards and three catches for 46 yards, but his role could expand this year. That said, he could also be cut in training camp. Keep an eye on what happens in training camp, but Brown is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.


Williams, Jonathan - BUF

Williams, Jonathan

Jonathan Williams gets a boost in Fantasy value this season with Mike Gillislee leaving Buffalo for New England. That opens the door for Williams to become the No. 2 running back for the Bills behind LeSean McCoy, and Williams is someone to target in all leagues with a late-round pick. Last year, Gillislee actually finished as the No. 26 Fantasy running back in standard leagues, and he had 101 carries for 577 yards (5.71 yards per carry) and eight touchdowns and nine catches for 50 yards and a touchdown. We're not sure if Williams is capable of that kind of production, and he was limited as a rookie in 2016 with 27 carries for 94 yards (3.5 yards per carry) and one touchdown in 10 games. He's a former fifth-round pick out of Arkansas, and he didn't play in 2015 because of a foot injury. But he was great in 2014 with 211 carries for 1,190 yards and 12 touchdowns and 11 catches for 65 yards and two touchdowns, and hopefully we get to see that player if he gets work in tandem or behind McCoy. Williams is worth a late-round pick in all leagues, especially as a handcuff for McCoy, because he could have a nice role as Gillislee's replacement. And if McCoy gets hurt, we could see Williams in a starring role.  


Drake, Kenyan - MIA

Drake, Kenyan

Kenyan Drake might have been selected too soon by the Dolphins in the NFL Draft when they took Derrick Henry's backup at Alabama in the third round, and now Drake will compete with Damien Williams to be the No. 2 running back for the Dolphins this season behind Jay Ajayi. Coach Adam Gase has said he wants to get Drake more involved in the offense this season, and as a rookie in 2016 he had 33 carries for 179 yards and two touchdowns and nine catches for 46 yards. Drake has more upside than Williams, but most likely the Dolphins would use both in a committee if Ajayi got hurt and had to miss extended action. It's a position battle to monitor in training camp, and we hope Drake wins the job. If Drake does end up as No. 2 on the depth chart, he's worth drafting as a handcuff to Ajayi and with a late-round pick in deeper leagues on his own. 


Dixon, Kenneth - BAL

Dixon, Kenneth

A four-game suspension for violating the NFL's Performance Enhancing Drug Policy will sink the Fantasy value of Ravens rusher Kenneth Dixon, but is that a bad thing? Dixon's rookie year was incredibly underwhelming as the team seemed hesitant to give him a lot of work until the last four games. That's when he averaged 13.5 touches and 59.5 total yards per game with all three of his touchdowns. The scores were awesome but the rest shouldn't excite you. New Ravens running back Danny Woodhead is a cinch to work passing downs and Terrance West will have a four-game head start on Dixon as the lead running downs back. It seems like an uphill climb for Dixon to come through for Fantasy owners, but the talented all-around back has a lot of great qualities and just needs touches to show them. We love the idea of stashing Dixon with a pick in Round 8 and just waiting to see how the Ravens backfield unfolds. You could even draft him and West a few rounds later to lock up a big share of the Baltimore run game. 


Ervin, Tyler - HOU

Ervin, Tyler

Tyler Ervin had more touches on kick and punt returns (41) than he had on offense last year (one carry, three catches). Yet he had the same amount of touchdowns on both -- zero. The diminutive speedster might have a hard time finding regular playing time on offense, limiting him to leagues that reward special-teams yardage. He'd only be worth a late pick then, and isn't worth a pick at all in a typical Fantasy league. 


Henry, Derrick - TEN

Henry, Derrick

Derrick Henry still isn't considered the workhorse in the Titans backfield, but that could change. DeMarco Murray, the "No. 1 back" according to coach Mike Mularkey, is 29 years old and has a lot of touches under his belt. The Titans might not say as much but they could start putting more work in Henry's hands, particularly after how Henry finished his rookie year with four touchdowns and 5.0 yards per carry in his final five games (10.4 touches per game). Expect Henry to be one of the most sought-after breakout candidates in drafts, going as soon as the 70th overall pick. That may make him a priority pick in Round 6 if you spend an earlier pick on Murray. 


Janovich, Andy - DEN

Janovich, Andy

Andy Janovich is expected to be the Broncos starting fullback this season, but he has minimal Fantasy value in the majority of leagues. He was limited to 11 games as a rookie in 2016 because of an ankle injury, and he only had four carries for 33 yards and a touchdown and five catches for 44 yards. He's not worth drafting in most formats.


Washington, DeAndre - OAK

Washington, DeAndre

The Raiders added Marshawn Lynch to their backfield this offseason, and he will replace Latavius Murray as the starter. But DeAndre Washington will still play a prominent role. He will likely compete with fellow second-year running back Jalen Richard for playing time, which is what happened in 2016 when Washington had 87 carries for 467 yards (5.37-yards per carry) and two touchdowns and 17 catches for 115 yards. Lynch will likely get carries on first and second down and work at the goal line, but there will be chances for Washington and Richard this season. And we like Richard slightly better than Washington as a Fantasy option, although it's close. We would only draft Washington with a late-round pick in the majority of leagues. 


Elliott, Ezekiel - DAL

Elliott, Ezekiel

Elliott paced the NFL with 322 carries and 1,631 rushing yards while finding the end zone a total of 16 times last season. Not bad for a rookie. Elliott faced an average of 8.0 in-box defenders, which was fifth highest in the NFL. The 2016 fourth overall pick trailed only David Johnson in fantasy points despite being limited to 38 targets (33rd). Elliott's rushing prowess, combined with Dallas' terrific offensive line and run-heavy scheme, will keep him near the top of the running back rankings, but he's in for some regression to the mean in the scoring department (only 11 carries inside the 5-yard line). Elliott also will need more receiving work to maximize his fantasy contributions, which is very possible, following the departure of Lance Dunbar. Elliott is a strong RB1 in all formats and should be upgraded slightly in non-PPR.


Perkins, Paul - NYG

Perkins, Paul

Paul Perkins has the chance to be the starting running back for the Giants, which makes him a breakout candidate heading into this season. He still has plenty to prove after a relatively quiet rookie year in 2016, but he could step into a big role on what should be an explosive offense. In 2016, Perkins opened the season behind Rashad Jennings and Shane Vereen, but Jennings proved to be ineffective, while Vereen was injured. By the end of the season, Perkins got more work and started to show he could be capable of starting. Perkins closed the season with four games in a row with double digits in carries, totaling 62 carries for 271 yards (4.4-yards per carry) over that span. He had 21 carries for 102 yards (4.9-yards per carry) in Week 17 at Washington and averaged at least 4.5-yards per carry in his final three outings. Now, he only had 15 catches for 162 yards for the season, and he could be limited as a receiver if Vereen is healthy. And he failed to score a touchdown for the year, but that will come if he gets the work expected as a starter. Perkins is worth drafting no later than Round 5 of 6 in standard leagues and Round 7 in PPR, and he could be a solid Fantasy option if he remains the starting running back for the Giants in 2017.


Howard, Jordan - CHI

Howard, Jordan

It didn't take long for Jordan Howard to become the Bears' lead running back, and it didn't take him long to become a very attractive Fantasy option either. Rising quickly on the Bears' depth chart, Howard took advantage of a surprisingly good offensive line to churn out 11 games with at least nine Fantasy points over his last 13 games. He averaged 18.7 touches and 107.4 total yards per outing and totaled seven touchdowns. Best of all, Howard told CBS Sports from the Pro Bowl that he expects more work in 2017! Given the state of the Bears passing game, that might not be so far-fetched. One word of warning: the Bears' early-season schedule seems difficult, particularly a spell between Weeks 3 through 8 that include the Steelers, Packers, Vikings, Ravens and Panthers. Expect Howard to get picked between eighth and 15th overall in every draft this summer as a good No. 1 Fantasy running back. 


Washington, Dwayne - DET

Washington, Dwayne

Dwayne Washington will compete for playing time in camp this summer with the Lions. Pressed into action last year, Washington struggled to average even 3.0 yards per run and was mostly a non-factor in the passing game. There's a little bit of long-term appeal with Washington since he's considered good enough to hold a roster spot, but the chance of him becoming an every-down workhorse for the Lions is as slim as an eyelash. He's only worth hanging on to in deep dynasty leagues. 


Collins, Alex - SEA

Collins, Alex

Alex Collins is expected to open the season as the No. 4 running back in Seattle, and he has minimal Fantasy value coming into the year. With Eddie Lacy, Thomas Rawls and C.J. Prosise ahead of Collins on the depth chart, it would likely take several injuries before he saw consistent playing time in 2017. As a rookie in 2016, Collins had 31 carries for 125 yards and one touchdown and 11 catches for 84 yards. We don't expect him to have a big role to open the season, and he's not worth drafting in the majority of leagues.


Richard, Jalen - OAK

Richard, Jalen

The Raiders added Marshawn Lynch to their backfield this offseason, and he will replace Latavius Murray as the starter. But Jalen Richard will still play a prominent role. He will likely compete with fellow second-year running back DeAndre Washington for playing time, which is what happened in 2016 when Richard had 83 carries for 491 yards (5.92-yards per carry) and one touchdown and 29 catches for 194 yards and two touchdowns. Lynch will likely get carries on first and second down and work at the goal line, but there will be chances for Washington and Richard this season. And we like Richard slightly better than Washington as a Fantasy option, although it's close. Richard has some sleeper appear coming into the season, but he's only worth drafting with a late-round pick in the majority of leagues. 




Previous   Next

© 2017 ATC All rights reserved.