Ask the Commish.Com

The Fantasy Advisors

     

2017 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2017 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

2016 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2016 Most Targets
-2016 Most Carries
-2016 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2016 Redzone Passing
-2016 Redzone Rushing
-2016 Redzone Receiving
-2016 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

QB Sleepers

 

Dalton, Andy - CIN

Dalton, Andy

If you don't throw touchdowns, you won't be a good Fantasy quarterback. That's the lesson Andy Dalton learned in 2017 when he had just 18 passing scores -- Sam Bradford had more! It's the second time in three seasons Dalton had fewer than 20 touchdowns. To be fair, Dalton didn't have A.J. Green to throw to for six games and barely had Tyler Eifert for half a season. Both of those top targets are expected to be at Dalton's disposal, but his offensive line lost multiple quality starters and could be a detriment. The run game in Cincinnati also could force Dalton's hand, and defenses will know it. With so many other quality quarterbacks on the board, Dalton really isn't worth taking in typical drafts. He's fine with a mid-to-late choice in two-QB formats. 


RIVERS, PHILIP - LAC

RIVERS, PHILIP

Philip Rivers is coming off a strong season in 2016, when he had the second-most touchdown passes of his career with 33 and his fourth year in a row with at least 4,200 passing yards. He finished as the No. 6 Fantasy quarterback in standard leagues, but it could have been even better if he didn't have a career high in interceptions with 21. Since Rivers has been at 15 interceptions or fewer in three of the past five seasons, we expect him to do better in that regard this year. And he has an amazing receiving corps with Keenan Allen (torn ACL) expected to be ready for Week 1, along with Tyrell Williams, Travis Benjamin, Hunter Henry and Antonio Gates. It might be the best group Rivers has ever had. There is the concern of Rivers starting to slow down since he's 35, and he's attempted at least 570 passes each of the past three seasons. He also has a tendency to fade in the second half of the season, although last year he scored at least 20 Fantasy points in six of his final eight games. We love waiting for Rivers on Draft Day in all leagues, and he's a low-end No. 1 Fantasy quarterback worth drafting with a late-round pick. He should, as usual, outperform his draft stock with another strong year in 2017.


PALMER, CARSON - ARI

PALMER, CARSON

Carson Palmer decided to return in 2017 after mulling retirement this offseason. Even though he's 37 and entering his 15th season in the NFL, Palmer should be considered a Fantasy sleeper this season. He finished as the No. 16 Fantasy quarterback in 2016, which was a disappointment, but he dealt with a tough situation at receiver with Michael Floyd being released and John Brown battling his sickle-cell trait. Palmer finished the season completing 61 percent of his passes for 4,233 yards, 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions in 15 games (he missed Week 5 with a concussion). After a slow start, Palmer closed the season with at least 20 Fantasy points in a standard league in six of his final nine games, and no outing with fewer than 17 points. We hope that's the quarterback we see this season, especially if Brown is back at 100 percent and the emergence of J.J. Nelson to complement Larry Fitzgerald and David Johnson. Palmer is worth a late-round pick in all formats, and here's hoping if this is his last season in the NFL he goes out with a bang.


SMITH, ALEX - KC

SMITH, ALEX

Alex Smith is always going to be one of those players who is better for his team than Fantasy owners. While he has been a top 15 Fantasy quarterback in two of the four years he's been the starter for the Chiefs, he's never going to be used as a No. 1 option in the majority of leagues. However, he's led Kansas City to a 41-20 record over four seasons, with three trips to the playoffs, and now he could be fighting for his job after the Chiefs traded up to No. 10 overall in this year's NFL Draft to select Patrick Mahomes from Texas Tech. We still expect Smith to be the starter this season, but he's now looking over his shoulder at a prized rookie on the bench. In 2016, Smith completed 67.1 percent of his passes for 3,502 yards, 15 touchdowns and eight interceptions and ran for 134 yards and five touchdowns. It's the fewest touchdown passes and rushing yards he's had in Kansas City, but it's also the most rushing touchdowns he's had in his career. He did have six games with at least 20 Fantasy points in a standard league last year, along with nine = with 16 points or less. We'll see if another year with Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill help Smith improve, but the sample size should be big enough to tell you he's just a low-end No. 2 Fantasy quarterback at best, especially with Jeremy Maclin (Baltimore) now gone. Smith is only worth drafting in two-quarterback leagues this year, and don't be surprised if he loses his job if Mahomes is ready and Smith struggles at some point during the season.


Winston, Jameis - TB

Winston, Jameis

Count on Jameis Winston being one of the popular picks in Fantasy drafts this summer. After improving in nearly every passing stat in 2016, the Buccaneers added veteran speed receiver DeSean Jackson  and rookie tight end O.J. Howard to an offense already flush with very good receiving talent. It will mean Winston will throw to those two, stud No. 1 guy Mike Evans, tight end Cameron Brate and a small horde of running backs. Winston also figures to keep trending up in pass attempts, which provides more opportunities for numbers. Seemingly a cinch for 4,000 yards and expected to exceed 30 total touchdowns given his receiving corps, Winston isn't just a low-end starting option anymore. He's the kind of quarterback you'll draft with the intention of riding for the long haul, similar to players like Ben Roethlisberger and Dak Prescott. Grab him between Rounds 8 and 9, with the expectation that he could be quite a value selection. Taking another quarterback after Winston as an insurance policy (Carson Palmer or Philip Rivers would do the trick) is also recommended. 


Wentz, Carson - PHI

Wentz, Carson

Carson Wentz should be considered a sleeper Fantasy quarterback coming into this season. The Eagles have significantly upgraded their receiving corps with the additions of Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith, giving him a talented, diverse receiving corps with Zach Ertz, Jordan Matthews and Darren Sproles, Wentz now has plenty of weapons to succeed. As a rookie in 2016, Wentz got off to a good start with at least 21 Fantasy points in three of his first four starts. However, his offensive line struggled soon thereafter, and Wentz had few weapons he could rely on. As a result, he only had two more games with at least 20 Fantasy points in his final 12 outings. Wentz isn't worth drafting as a No. 1 Fantasy quarterback this season, but he should be considered a high-end backup worth selecting with a late-round pick in all leagues. This could be a big year for last year's No. 2 overall pick.


Glennon, Mike - CHI

Glennon, Mike

Bears fans will root for Mike Glennon until he makes his first mistake, with No. 2 overall pick Mitch Trubisky looming behind him on the depth chart . Fantasy owners probably don't need to get excited about Chicago's expected Week 1 signal-caller, based on what we've seen from him. In order to keep his job, Glennon will have to play better than he did when he made 13 starts as a rookie when he completed 59.4 percent of his passes, threw 19 touchdowns and averaged about 200 yards per game. Glennon will need to make the most of an underwhelming receiving corps, headlined by 2016 breakout Cameron Meredith and the injury plagued Kevin White. He should have pretty good protection up front, and running back Jordan Howard should help, but with expectations low, Glennon shouldn't be a part of any standard-format Fantasy roster. Where Glennon does have appeal is in two-quarterback leagues, where he's actually a sleeper worth a pick in the double-digit rounds as long as he has a job. 


HOYER, BRIAN - NE

HOYER, BRIAN

Brian Hoyer parlayed a pretty solid stint as the Bears quarterback into a potential starting gig for the 49ers. Hoyer will reunite with Kyle Shanahan, working in an offense he was pretty good in back with the Browns. We've seen the veteran go spells with some nice numbers, only to fall on his face in big-time games. Considering the lack of talent or depth in the 49ers receiving corps, Hoyer is probably in for a difficult season. In typical leagues you might consider Hoyer off waivers when your main quarterback is on bye. In two-quarterback formats he's a third option. 




Previous   Next

© 2017 ATC All rights reserved.