Ask the Commish.Com

The Fantasy Advisors

     

2019 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2019 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

2018 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2018 Most Targets
-2018 Most Carries
-2018 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2018 Redzone Passing
-2018 Redzone Rushing
-2018 Redzone Receiving
-2018 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2019
Draft Kit

RB Sleepers

 

Richard, Jalen - OAK

Richard, Jalen

Jalen Richard should have the chance to remain the pass-catching running back for the Raiders this season, but the addition of rookie Josh Jacobs and return of Doug Martin could impact Richard in a negative way. Jacobs has the ability to play on passing downs, and Richard could lose touches, as well as Martin also playing a role. Richard proved to be a reliable Fantasy option in 2018 in a shared role with Marshawn Lynch and Martin. Despite scoring just one touchdown all season, Richard still managed nine games with double digits in PPR points. His 68 receptions were seventh among running backs in the NFL last year, and he had seven games with at least five receptions. Now, along with Jacobs, the Raiders upgraded their receiving corps with the addition of Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams, which could also take away some receptions. We're still hopeful for Richard being a factor on passing downs, but his Fantasy production should be reduced this season. He's only worth a late-round flier in all leagues this season.


Foreman, D'Onta - HOU

Foreman, D

Foreman was one of the top backs in the 2017 draft and was scooped up by Houston in the third round. The Texas product seemed well on his way to stealing lead back duties from the struggling Lamar Miller, but a torn Achilles ended that dream after only 10 games. Foreman ended his rookie campaign with 78 carries for 327 yards (4.2 YPC, 1.9 YAC) and six receptions for 83 yards (13.8 YPR). Foreman's health is obviously a major concern, but if he makes it back for Week 1, it is possible (if not likely) that he overtakes Miller at some point this season. The 6-foot, 233-pound bulldozer is worthy of a bench spot.


Breida, Matt - SF

Breida, Matt

Matt Breida is expected to compete for the starting job in San Francisco's backfield this season, but he could find himself No. 3 on the depth chart by Week 1. With the addition of Tevin Coleman and the return to health of Jerick McKinnon (ACL), Breida isn't guaranteed touches until we see what happens in training camp. In 2018, with McKinnon out, Breida was the best running back for the 49ers, scoring at least 12 PPR points in seven of 14 games. He battled lower leg injuries for much of the season, but he also showed he could handle being the starter when he was healthy. Keep an eye on his role in training camp, and he could be worth a late-round pick in all formats. Our best guess is the depth chart for San Francisco has Coleman at the top, followed by McKinnon and then Breida, but Breida should make this competition tough.


Ballage, Kalen - MIA

Ballage, Kalen

Kalen Ballage could be a popular sleeper this season since he's expected to share touches with Kenyan Drake - and potentially do more. While we don't anticipate Ballage working as the starter early in the season for Miami, he could emerge as a workhorse during the year. He's also a Drake injury away from a starting job. As a rookie in 2018, Ballage had two games with double digits in carries, and he scored 19 PPR points in Week 15 at Minnesota. There's a lot to like about Ballage in his sophomore campaign, and he's worth a late-round pick in all formats.


Jones, Ronald - TB

Jones, Ronald

Can Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones re-claim even a sliver of the potential he had when he was drafted out of USC last year? It seems like he lost his swagger in training camp last summer and it kept him from being a contributor for all of 2018. For crying out loud, he had 30 touches in nine games! Bruce Arians seemed to take a liking to Jones during the offseason and didn't add any serious competition to the backfield for him or starter Peyton Barber. Fantasy managers will be shy to take Jones with any draft pick, but if he makes headlines in August, his stock will shoot up into at least the middle rounds. Even without the headlines, Jones is a decent late-rounder.


Ingram, Mark - BAL

Ingram, Mark

Ingram left the Saints for the Ravens, which means he'll no longer be playing second fiddle to Alvin Kamara. It also means he'll be involved the the most run-heavy offense in football. The Ravens are expected to run the ball more than 60 percent of their offensive plays with Lamar Jackson under center. Ingram brings a veteran presence and a history of an efficient running back to Baltimore. He should get ample opportunity to prove he can still handle a feature role as he turns 30 in December. The threat of Jackson as a runner should open up big holes for Ingram. The case against Ingram has to start with his age, but that's not all. It will also be really interesting to see if he can be as efficient in Baltimore's system as he was with Drew Brees under center. Gus Edwards was very efficient last year, but now defensive coordinators will have a full season to digest the Ravens offense. We saw what happened in the playoffs when the Chargers saw it for a second time. It's also good to remember the feature role isn't quite the same in Baltimore. There is going to be a committee of sorts, and Jackson is likely to account for at least a quarter of their rush attempts.


Davis, Mike - CHI

Davis, Mike

Mike Davis is expected to be the No. 3 running back for the Bears this season, and he has minimal Fantasy value in that role. It looked like Davis was a potential sleeper this season when he signed in Chicago and the team traded Jordan Howard to Philadelphia, but the Bears spent a third-round pick on rookie David Montgomery, who will likely pair with Tarik Cohen as the top two running backs in this offense. Davis showed he could still be Fantasy relevant as the No. 3 option in Seattle last season behind Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny, and he had plenty of positive moments, including six games with at least 13 PPR points. But if Montgomery and Cohen stay healthy, it will be hard for Davis to produce on a high level. He is only worth drafting with a late-round flier in most leagues.


Brown, Malcolm - LAR

Brown, Malcolm

Malcolm Brown will compete with rookie Darrell Henderson to be the backup running back for the Rams this year. The winner of this competition should be considered a sleeper on Draft Day in most Fantasy leagues because of the uncertainty surrounding Todd Gurley and his knee for 2019. With Gurley dealing with knee problems at the end of last season, including the playoffs, he lost playing time and production to C.J. Anderson, who signed with the Lions this offseason. The reason Anderson got the job with the Rams was because Brown was placed on injured reserve in Week 14 with a collarbone injury. Prior to that, he was the backup to Gurley, and he could return to that role this year, although we'd give the edge to Henderson in this position battle. If Gurley suffers a setback or isn't 100 percent with his knee in training camp, Brown will be worth a late-round pick in all leagues if he's ahead of Henderson on the depth chart.


Armstead, Ryquell - JAC

Armstead, Ryquell

Ryquell Armstead could emerge as the primary backup to Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville, a good job given Fournette's past. Armstead is a bully of a runner, powering downhill through defenders with good speed. He can also block fairly well, but he's not elusive and doesn't offer a whole lot as a pass-catcher, limiting his value. If he can improve in those areas, he'll have an opportunity sooner or later to be worthy of a Fantasy roster space. You may see Armstead get taken late in seasonal leagues but that's not a good idea until we're sure of his spot on the depth chart. Until then, draft him late in long-term formats and with a third-rounder in rookie-only drafts.


Harris, Damien - NE

Harris, Damien

Harris is a rock-solid running back and one who will make coaches very happy. He runs downhill and gets what’s blocked, sometimes more. With Sony Michel dealing with a chronic knee injury, the Patriots likely grabbed Harris as high-priced insurance in the third-round. Damien Harris currently sports the coveted title of “cheapest New England running back to draft in fantasy,” and in April’s NFL Draft, he was only picked 17 spots after the Rams’ Darrell Henderson (who no one is sleeping on at this point). The Patriots maximize the skills of their players, so Harris should produce when called upon, as they continue to lean on the run and save Tom Brady for another inevitable playoff run. Remember that Harris beat out Josh Jacobs in college, so expecting the same against Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead in the pros isn’t a stretch, especially considering those veterans’ checkered injury histories.


Henderson, Darrell - LAR

Henderson, Darrell

The Rams selected rookie running back Darrell Henderson in the third round of the NFL Draft from Memphis, and he's expected to be No. 2 on the depth chart behind Todd Gurley. That should make him a popular Fantasy option given the concerns about Gurley's knee following the end of last season. Gurley missed two games at the end of the regular season in 2018 and then struggled in the playoffs, and reports surfaced that his knee could be a long-term problem. After drafting Henderson, Rams coach Sean McVay said the team could use more two-back formations this year, with Henderson competing with Malcolm Brown for that secondary role. We expect Henderson to win the job, and he's someone to consider as a sleeper with a mid-round pick in seasonal leagues. And obviously his value would skyrocket if Gurley missed any time due to injury. In rookie-only drafts, Henderson should be selected early in Round 2.




Previous   Next

© 2019 ATC All rights reserved.