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The Fantasy Advisors

     

2022 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2022 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2021 Top Performances
-2021 Most Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2021 Median Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2022 Schedule
-Easiest 2022 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2021 Top Performances
-2021 Most Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2021 Median Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2022 Schedule
-Easiest 2022 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2021 Top Performances
-2021 Most Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2021 Median Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2022 Schedule
-Easiest 2022 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2021 Top Performances
-2021 Most Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2021 Median Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2022 Schedule
-Easiest 2022 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2021 Top Performances
-2021 Most Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2021 Median Fantasy Points
-2021 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2022 Schedule
-Easiest 2022 Playoff Schedule

2021 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2021 Most Targets
-2021 Most Carries
-2021 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2021 Redzone Passing
-2021 Redzone Rushing
-2021 Redzone Receiving
-2021 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2022
Draft Kit

WR 2nd Year Players

 

Moore, Elijah - NYJ

Moore, Elijah

Elijah Moore ranked as the fantasy WR2 over his last stretch of six games played. His 16.1 fantasy points per game would have ranked fifth had he continued the production the remainder of the season. Unfortunately his season was cut short due to injuries and COVID-19 implications. The addition of Garrett Wilson makes Moore's second-year ascension less certain as he did not have much target competition during his scorching finish outside of veteran Jamison Crowder.


Chase, Ja'Marr - CIN

Chase, Ja

Ja'Marr Chase broke Justin Jefferson's record for most receiving yards by a rookie, finishing 2021 as the WR5 in fantasy points per game and the WR22 in expected fantasy points per game. Only Deebo Samuel scored more fantasy points above expectation (+74.3) than Chase - a testament to his home-run hitting ability. Chase's 18.0 yards per reception ranked second-best in the NFL behind only Samuel. The Bengals wide receivers' dominance continued in the postseason with back-to-back 100-yard games in the first two rounds of the playoffs. Chase commanded a 27% target share when it mattered most during postseason play, a 5% increase from his regular season target share.


Collins, Nico - HOU

Collins, Nico

Nico Collins commanded end-zone targets and high air-yard throws in 2021 but ultimately never put together a true breakout game. He finished behind Brandin Cooks in air yards and all other receiving categories. Still, he should open the 2022 season at worst as the de facto No. 2 option - if John Metchie is not fully back from his torn ACL - for up-and-coming second-year quarterback Davis Mills.


Milne, Dax - WAS

Milne, Dax

Milne can be ignored in all Fantasy Football leagues until a path towards Fantasy relevance presents itself.


St. Brown, Amon-Ra - DET

St. Brown, Amon-Ra

Amon-Ra St. Brown cannot be denied. The Day 3 rookie silenced the doubters with an incredible hot streak down the stretch for the Detroit Lions commanding a 33% target share - 11 targets per game - en route to a WR3 PPR finish from Weeks 13-18. But the elite late-season production comes with the caveat that De'Andre Swift and T.J. Hockenson were not healthy. Before their injuries, ASB was an essential non-factor outside a stretch from Weeks 4-6 where he commanded a 22% target share. The Lions' rookie wide receiver was an extreme outlier as he not only finished top-50 but 21st overall; that almost never happens with fourth-round picks. The path for upside St. Brown showed last season is what we should be pursuing, but be mindful that it will likely take more injuries with first-round pick Jameson Williams and veteran D.J. Chark added to the roster this offseason.


Smith, Shi - CAR

Smith, Shi

Until Smith finds meaningful playing time, Fantasy managers shouldn't bother adding him to rosters.


Brown, Dyami - WAS

Brown, Dyami

Brown's Fantasy value was negatively impacted by the acquisition of Jahan Dotson, but the 22-year-old still has some appeal in Dynasty leagues, where he should be stashed at least until early in the year. If Brown is the No. 3 wide receiver, he may have some best ball appeal as a deep threat. Brown can be ignored in redraft unless something happens to McLaurin or Dotson.


Wallace, Tylan - BAL

Wallace, Tylan

It's unlikely that second-year receiver Wallace finds meaningful playing time in the Ravens offense this season. Tight end Mark Andrews figures to be the top target with second-year wideout Rashod Bateman expected to be very involved. It doesn't leave much for Wallace to contribute, especially in a run-first offense like the Ravens' is. He should remain stashed on Dynasty league rosters only.


Atwell, Tutu - LAR

Atwell, Tutu

Atwell struggled through his rookie season after the Rams made him a second-round pick and then ended the year on injured reserve due to shoulder surgery. There has been some talk about how good he's looked this offseason, so he's at least worth holding in most Dynasty leagues. You can ignore him in redraft unless the Rams have multiple injuries in training camp.


Waddle, Jaylen - MIA

Waddle, Jaylen

Jaylen Waddle looked primed to make the leap into the top-12 conversation after a stellar rookie season. Along with breaking Anquan Boldin's rookie reception record, Waddle commanded a 22% target share and 24% target rate per route run - 18th-best in the NFL. But with the expensive addition of veteran Tyreek Hill, it is less likely that Waddle is the clear-cut No. 1 receiver in Miami. Hill is coming off a season where he commanded the league's seventh-highest target rate per route run (27%). The trade moves Waddle down from a fringe WR1 to mid-range fantasy WR2 after seeing almost zero target competition last season.


Bateman, Rashod - BAL

Bateman, Rashod

The Baltimore Ravens traded Marquise Brown to the Arizona Cardinals this offseason, opening the WR1 role on offense. Bateman has the opportunity to step in and be the true No. 1 wide receiver for Lamar Jackson (QB - BAL) in 2022 and beyond. With Brown's 23% target share departure, Bateman can seize a massive role for fantasy as a high-end WR2. 2022 is Shoddy B breakout SZN.


Smith, DeVonta - PHI

Smith, DeVonta

DeVonta Smith didn't have the record-breaking rookie seasons like Ja'Marr Chase or Jaylen Waddle, but he was still extremely solid. He finished 10th in overall team air yards share and top-20 in PFF receiving grade among WRs with at least 100 targets. So Smith's WR29 finish and WR42 standing in points per game hardly does the rookie justice while playing in a run-heavy offensive attack. From Week 7 onward, Smith never saw more than six targets in any game. I don't necessarily believe that Smith's targets per game will increase substantially after the team added A.J. Brown this offseason; that puts Smith firmly in the fantasy WR3 tier.


Moore, Rondale - ARI

Moore, Rondale

Rondale Moore is entering his second season with a straightforward path for an expanded role in the Cardinals' offense. He flashed his potential early on for Arizona in 2021, with 182 receiving yards in his first two NFL games. But Kliff Kingsbury never opted to go back to Moore with the likes of A.J. Green and Christian Kirk playing solid roles. We should see Moore - and his dead-last 1.3 aDOT - experience significant growth in Year 2 especially with DeAndre Hopkins suspended for the first six weeks of the season.


Schwartz, Anthony - CLE

Schwartz, Anthony

Anthony Schwartz remains in the mix for the No. 2 wide receiver spot, and the Cleveland Browns are not compelled to add a second proven veteran wideout at this time, Mary Kay Cabot of the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.The organization acquired Amari Cooper as the No. 1 receiver during the offseason and don't feel the need to add a veteran No. 2 for the sake of it. High-profile receivers like T.Y. Hilton and Will Fuller are available, but the Browns feel that either Schwartz or Donovan Peoples-Jones can fill that role. They also have David Njoku and Harrison Bryant at tight end as capable pass catchers.


Felton Jr., Demetric - CLE

Felton Jr., Demetric

A Cleveland scout said Demetric Felton will focus on running back in 2022, Nate Ulrich of the Akron Beacon Journal reports.Felton was dubbed a hybrid back when he was selected in the 2021 Draft, capable of playing running back or wide receiver, but he spent most of time in the receivers' room as a rookie. It's unclear what shape Felton's role will take in 2022. He was one of the Cleveland Browns' primary returners last season, but Cleveland added Jakeem Grant for both punt and kick returns this offseason, and the selection of running back Jerome Ford in the fifth round adds to a crowded backfield.


Eskridge, Dee - SEA

Eskridge, Dee

Eskridge will battle Freddie Swain for the No. 3 wide receiver role in Seattle. As long as DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett stay healthy, it's unlikely any other receiver in Seattle has Fantasy value. They can be ignored in redraft leagues. In Dynasty leagues, Eskridge is still a stash in most leagues due to his Round 2 pedigree and the fact that Lockett will turn 30 in December.




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