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2017 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2017 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

2016 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2016 Most Targets
-2016 Most Carries
-2016 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2016 Redzone Passing
-2016 Redzone Rushing
-2016 Redzone Receiving
-2016 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

RB Duds

 

Ingram, Mark - NO

Ingram, Mark

Mark Ingram has always had to share carries, but splitting with future Hall of Famer Adrian Peterson could halt Ingram's three-year streak of hitting 1,100 total yards. That will depend on the 32-year-old Peterson, who might still have some good qualities left in his game but also has been worn down over 2,781 career touches. On paper, Peterson should at least cover Tim Hightower's old role in New Orleans, picking up around 10 touches per game with some scoring opportunities. But in reality Peterson could miss time with an injury, giving Ingram a big chance to rack up numbers. All Ingram has done over the past two years is average 90.6 total yards per game with 16 touchdowns. He's even had nine-plus Fantasy points in 64.3 percent of those games. Injuries and fumbles have been issues for Ingram in the past, but if the biggest risk to Ingram's numbers is Peterson then Fantasy owners shouldn't shy away from him. Draft Ingram as a volatile No. 2 Fantasy running back worth a selection between 30th and 40th overall in all formats. 


Hill, Jeremy - CIN

Hill, Jeremy

Is there a compelling reason to get Jeremy Hill on Draft Day? Well, he is technically the Bengals' current lead running back and has delivered at least nine rushing touchdowns in each of his three years in the NFL. But his fourth season might be his last in Cincinnati after the Bengals drafted Joe Mixon. Hill's rushing average has declined after a great rookie year; last season, he delivered fewer than 60 rush yards per game. He also doesn't catch the ball very much. For Hill to bounce back, he'll have to fend off Joe Mixon and Giovani Bernard from eating into his carries and also improve on the paltry 3.7 yard per carry average he's drudged up over his last 31 games. Given all that, along with the Bengals' suspect offensive line, it's risky to count on Hill as a dependable Fantasy running back. He's no better than a No. 3 option that shouldn't get snapped up until Round 7 at the earliest -- after Mixon for sure. While he won't be popular, there's no doubt he still has the potential to be a serviceable option in Fantasy, and for that he carries some value as a backup runner. 


Hyde, Carlos - SF

Hyde, Carlos

Carlos Hyde was a standout Fantasy option in 2016, but he does face some questions heading into this season. First, he has to prove he's over last year's knee injury, a torn MCL suffered in Week 16. He did not require surgery, but he admitted in April he's still not at full strength. We expect him to be fine for training camp, but he also has to show he's a good fit for new coach Kyle Shanahan. While Shanahan praised Hyde throughout the offseason, there were reports the 49ers don't see Hyde as their long-term answer at running back. We do expect Hyde to be the starter in 2017, and his competition for touches should be minimal from backups Tim Hightower, DuJuan Harris and fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Hyde was the No. 14 Fantasy running back in standard leagues in 2016 with 217 carries for 988 yards (4.6 yards per carry) and six touchdowns, and 27 catches for 163 yards and three touchdowns. He had eight games with double digits in Fantasy points in a standard league in the 13 games he was able to play. Continue to monitor Hyde's health during the offseason, but he heads into training camp worth drafting in Round 2 in the majority of leagues.


GORE, FRANK - IND

GORE, FRANK

Frank Gore is 34 years old and has 3,105 career carries, yet he just churned for eight total touchdowns and 1,302 yards from scrimmage in 2016. He didn't miss a game, had double-digits in Fantasy points 10 times, averaged 18.8 touches per game and finished as a Top 12 running back for the second year in a row. But all of those numbers are in danger of sliding given the Colts' offseason. Not only did the team keep Robert Turbin, who stole eight touchdowns of his own last season, but they drafted USF speedster Marlon Mack. The two of them, especially Mack, could limit the number of touches Gore gets from week to week. With a tough slate of run defenses ahead of him, teammates to challenge for playing time and all those carries behind him, Gore's just not worth targeting on Draft Day. Someone will settle on Gore in every league as a low-end No. 2 Fantasy running back. That should happen by Round 6 or 7. If it's you who takes him, that's okay -- just make sure you grab Mack by Round 9. 


Ivory, Chris - JAC

Ivory, Chris

Chris Ivory isn't expected to help your Fantasy team much this year after the Jaguars selected Leonard Fournette with a first-round pick. Fournette is a younger, faster, healthier version of Ivory. Expected to be the Jaguars' lead back for the foreseeable future, Fournette should make Ivory a role player in Jacksonville. Given Ivory's injuries and poor play last season, that shouldn't be a surprise. Maybe you'll see him get picked late in drafts as a reserve running back, but he's really not worth drafting unless Fournette struggles at the pro level. 


FORTE, MATT - NYJ

FORTE, MATT

Matt Forte's first season with the Jets produced mixed results in 2016, and he's hoping for a better campaign this year. He actually finished as the No. 20 Fantasy running back in standard leagues with 218 carries for 813 yards (3.73 yards per carry) and seven touchdowns, along with 30 catches for 263 yards and one touchdown. He even scored double digits in Fantasy points in six of his first 10 games. But injuries became a problem for Forte, including a knee issue that required arthroscopic surgery for a torn meniscus in the offseason, and he missed two games. Injuries are a concern for a running back at 31, with nine seasons in the NFL and has more than 2,200 career carries and 2,700 career touches under his belt. He now has consecutive seasons with fewer than 900 rushing yards and 400 receiving yards, and he'll have to contend with Bilal Powell taking away touches -- and Powell is the better Fantasy option at this point. Forte is only worth drafting as a No. 4 Fantasy running back with a late-round pick in the majority of leagues. His best days are clearly behind him.


PETERSON, ADRIAN - NO

PETERSON, ADRIAN

The Saints signed ex-Vikings running back Adrian Peterson to compete for playing time in training camp this summer. For Peterson to regain his amazing Fantasy form, he'll have to first unseat Mark Ingram as the lead back, then defy age and experience. Peterson is 32 years old with 2,781 career touches. Typically running backs with that much wear-and-tear tend to underperform and get injured, which is exactly what happened to Peterson last year when he missed 13 games and averaged 1.9 yards per run when he did play. Chances are the Saints signed him to help shoulder some of the rushing workload, perhaps the 9.7 touches per game Tim Hightower had last year. That would lead to some very modest stats and basically make Peterson a touchdown-or-bust running back. Maybe he scores five or six times this season, including Week 1 against his old team, but trusting him to be a reliable Fantasy starter is unnecessarily risky. Expect some goofball in every draft to reach for Peterson this summer, but if he's still available in Round 8 and you want to roll the dice on him, it's not too steep of a price. 


LYNCH, MARSHAWN - OAK

LYNCH, MARSHAWN

Marshawn Lynch came out out of retirement to play for the Raiders this season, where he is expected to take over as the starter for departed free agent Latavius Murray. Lynch retired after the 2015 season and hasn't played in a year, and he turned 31 in April. In his last season with Seattle, Lynch battled hamstring and abdomen problems and was limited to seven games, and he looked like his career was winding down. But the lure of playing for his hometown team has brought him back to Oakland, and he should benefit from playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL with the Raiders. He'll lose some work to second-year backs DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard, but Lynch should do well if he's able to stay healthy. Your best bet is to view Lynch as a No. 2 running back in the majority of leagues, and he's worth drafting in Round 5 or later in all formats. Hopefully this is a successful comeback, but it could be hard for Lynch to overcome Father Time after sitting out for a year. 


Murray, Latavius - MIN

Murray, Latavius

Latavius Murray signed a three-year, $15 million deal with the Vikings this offseason, and he will try to help fill the void left by Adrian Peterson, who was released -- but he has plenty of company. The Vikings selected rookie Dalvin Cook in the second round of this year's NFL Draft, and Cook is likely the most talented running back on the roster. Now, that doesn't mean Cook will start over Murray, but Cook could be the No. 1 option in this backfield by the middle of the season. Murray also had ankle surgery this offseason, though he's expected to be fine for the start of training camp. Murray was with the Raiders in 2016, and he finished as the No. 13 Fantasy running back in standard leagues with 195 carries for 788 yards (4.04 yards per carry) and 12 touchdowns, along with 33 catches for 264 yards. He shared playing time with rookies DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard, and Oakland had one of the best offensive lines in the NFL blocking for him. In Minnesota, Murray will share touches with Cook and Jerick McKinnon, but the Vikings offensive line is much inferior to the one he left behind. Murray's Fantasy stock is on the decline with the move to Minnesota and the addition of Cook. At best, he's a No. 3 Fantasy running back in the majority of leagues, and he should only be drafted with a mid-to late-round pick.




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