Ask the Commish.Com

The Fantasy Advisors

     

2017 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2017 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

2016 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2016 Most Targets
-2016 Most Carries
-2016 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2016 Redzone Passing
-2016 Redzone Rushing
-2016 Redzone Receiving
-2016 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

WR Sleepers

 

Snead, Willie - NO

Snead, Willie

Willie Snead seems set up to succeed as the Saints' slot sensation in '17. A hot start faded fast last year but Snead still came up with over 100 targets for the second year in a row. He also became a red-zone threat for Brees, including eight targets inside the 10-yard line. More work is assumed for Snead given Brandin Cooks' departure, but expectations should be held back a bit. Assume he'll get his 100 targets, maybe even 110, but for the touchdowns and yardage to settle in around the 950-yard, four-score marks he's been at through his first two seasons. Snead is safest as a Round 6 pick in PPR leagues and Round 8 in non-PPR.  


Diggs, Stefon - MIN

Diggs, Stefon

Stefon Diggs is a talented receiver, but he might not be as good for Fantasy as you might think. For example, he had four games with 10-plus Fantasy points last year, four the year prior and 15 games over those two years with five Fantasy points or fewer. He gets plenty of targets and catches in the Vikings' offense (6.5 grabs per game last year) but he didn't do anything with them. For example, he had two catches inside the opponents' 10-yard line last year. Two! Diggs deserves some merit for his catch rate (75.0 percent in 2016) but without an expansive receiving average (10.8 per catch in 2016), a glut of touchdowns or a move toward lining up everywhere instead of predominantly in the slot, he's an overrated Fantasy receiver. He's not worth taking until Round 10 in standard leagues and Round 8 in PPR. 


Jones, Marvin - DET

Jones, Marvin

Marvin Jones' arrival in Detroit started great, but ended with a thud. Now he'll try to reclaim his early-season form and give the Lions a good receiving threat for 16 games. Jones totaled 51 Fantasy points in Weeks 1 through 3, and then managed just 59 in Weeks 4 through 17. What happened? Some blame nagging leg and foot injuries; others simply suggest he overachieved early and was himself later on. One guy who believes in Jones is Lions coach Jim Caldwell, who expressed optimism in Jones' abilities this offseason and seems content letting him come back to the starting lineup this fall. With interest in Jones much lower this year than last, an argument could be made to draft him with a late-round pick, but he's been trending up with how good he's looked. The worst-case scenario is that you waste a Round 12 pick on a receiver who never makes your starting lineup. The best-case scenario is Jones becoming a functional part of your Fantasy team, which most starting NFL receivers have the potential to do and emerges as a solid fantasy WR 2 or 3. 


Hogan, Chris - NE

Hogan, Chris

This former lacrosse star, Chris Hogan, had a productive first campaign with the Patriots in 2016 with 38 catches for 680 yards and four touchdowns on 57 targets, but it's doubtful he will build on those stats this season. The Patriots added Brandin Cooks from the Saints this offseason, and that bumped Hogan down the depth chart to No. 3 at best. However, an injury to Edelman moved him back up. We're seeing him drafted between 45-55 as a fantasy WR after the injury, but he could be a solid fantasy WR 3. We'd move him higher if the Patriots weren't so loaded with Cooks, Rob Grokowski, Dwayne Allen, Mike Gillislee, Rex Burkhead, Dion Lewis and James White.


Coleman, Corey - CLE

Coleman, Corey

Wideout Corey Coleman will have the chance to lead the Browns' passing attack. Ok, fine, maybe that's not exactly the most appealing thing in the world, but at least he'll have a slew of targets sent his way. That is, if he can stay healthy. Coleman fell on a football during OTAs and suffered a chest injury, then reportedly had a sore hamstring in early June. This after breaking his hand during a practice last season, causing him to miss two months. The potential is there for Coleman -- he's one of the fastest players in the league and should be locked into playing every down for a team that, let's face it, probably will have to throw 35-plus times per week. But because of his proneness to random practice injuries and being in Cleveland, he'll likely get passed over through the first 100 picks of every draft. After that, the value is just too rich to pass up Coleman. 


Crowder, Jamison - WAS

Crowder, Jamison

Jamison Crowder could be headed toward a third-year breakout campaign in 2017, and hopefully he'll build off his solid season in 2016 when he had 67 catches for 847 yards and seven touchdowns on 98 targets. He goes from the No. 3 receiver in 2016 behind DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon to a starter with Jackson and Garcon gone as free agents, and he will play opposite Terrelle Pryor. That should lead to him having more than 100 targets and in line for a boost in production (Jackson and Garcon combined for 216 targets, 135 catches, 2,046 yards and seven touchdowns last year). Pryor will help fill that void, and the Redskins hope more is in store for second-year receiver Josh Doctson. But Crowder has the chance for a big season in 2017, and he's worth drafting as a high-end No. 3 Fantasy receiver with a mid-round pick in all leagues.


Hill, Tyreek - KC

Hill, Tyreek

Tyreek Hill had an impressive rookie campaign in 2016, and he's hoping to build on that performance this season. And he has a great opportunity in front of him, with Jeremy Maclin now in Baltimore after being cut in June. Hill finished 2016 as the No. 20 Fantasy receiver in standard leagues with 61 catches for 593 yards and six touchdowns on 83 targets and 24 carries for 267 yards and three touchdowns. He also added one kickoff return and two punt returns for touchdowns, so he scored 12 touchdowns in all. It might be hard for him to match that touchdown total this year, but he's now the No. 1 receiver for the Chiefs, which increases his Fantasy value. We view Hill as a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 Fantasy receiver, and he should be drafted as early as Round 5. We hope he doesn't suffer a sophomore slump, but the stage is set for Hill to produce at a high level now that Maclin is gone.


Jones, Zay - BUF

Jones, Zay

Jones will be overlooked in a great number of fantasy drafts -- and will probably be undervalued in Dynasty drafts as well. There are many reasons for that. The Buffalo Bills are clearly a run-first team, and Tyrod Taylor has yet to show that he can consistently find his open receivers. Moreover, in a draft where 3 wide receivers went in the first 10 picks, Jones was not even a first round pick. After all, Robert Woods (who high-tailed for LA) was unable to post big-time fantasy numbers in the role that Jones will look to ostensibly replace. But that is where the fallacy sets in. Woods and Jones are very different receivers. Let's not forget that Zay Jones left Arizona State as the all time leader in FSB history. That has to mean something in PPR fantasy formats! Also, with little other competition for the WR2 spot in Buffalo, Jones looks to be a starter from day one. Given Sammy Watkins' injury history, there is also a chance that Jones could very well be the team's top WR before it is all said and done. Davis, Williams and Ross will all probably be drafted ahead of Jones -- but do not be surprised if he leads all WR rookies in receptions and yards.


Parker, DeVante - MIA

Parker, DeVante

DeVante Parker has been a bust through the first two years of his career, but hopefully this will be a third-year breakout campaign for him in 2017. It didn't help that Kenny Stills re-signed with the Dolphins, but Parker should be able to outplay Stills if he's motivated and healthy. Parker actually played 15 games in 2016, but he only had 56 catches for 744 yards and four touchdowns on 90 targets. He finished second on the Dolphins in catches and yards behind Jarvis Landry, but Stills (42 catches for 726 yards and nine touchdowns) was the better Fantasy option. We still recommend drafting Parker with a mid- to late-round pick in all leagues because the Dolphins made him a first-round pick in 2015 and are still committed to making him a good NFL player. He's had a good offseason and Jay Cutler is now in town and those factors could lead to some great Fantasy production if things click for him this year.




Previous   Next

© 2017 ATC All rights reserved.