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2017 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2017 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2016 Top Performances
-2016 Most Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2016 Median Fantasy Points
-2016 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2017 Schedule
-Easiest 2017 Playoff Schedule

2016 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2016 Most Targets
-2016 Most Carries
-2016 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2016 Redzone Passing
-2016 Redzone Rushing
-2016 Redzone Receiving
-2016 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

WR Moving Truck Tracker

 

Patterson, Cordarrelle - OAK

Patterson, Cordarrelle

Cordarrelle Patterson figures to primarily be involved with kick and punt returns with the Raiders this year, though coach Jack Del Rio said he plans to get Patterson some work on offense. Given the personnel the Raiders have at receiver, it's unlikely Patterson will play a lot. Blessed with size and speed, Patterson has 11 touchdowns on offense through four years but on just 163 career touches. He's a long way from impacting the Raiders offense and thus should only get taken late in leagues where special-teams yardage counts big. 


Goodwin, Marquise - SF

Goodwin, Marquise

Marquise Goodwin signed a two-year contract with the 49ers this offseason, and he's expected to be a complementary receiver in a rebuilding offense. Goodwin is coming off the best year in his four-year career in 2016 with Buffalo when he had 29 catches for 431 yards and three touchdowns on 68 targets. It's hard to expect him to make a difference for Fantasy owners, but the 49ers need help at receiver with Pierre Garcon as the No. 1 option and little else on the roster. Still, Goodwin has proven to be a deep threat and little else in his career, and the best you can hope for is new 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan using Goodwin like he did with Taylor Gabriel as the offensive coordinator in Atlanta; Gabriel had 35 catches for 579 yards and six touchdowns on 49 targets. Goodwin is not worth drafting in the majority of leagues, but he can be added off waivers if he starts off the season playing well.


Britt, Kenny - CLE

Britt, Kenny

Kenny Britt signed with the Browns this offseason on a four-year, $32 million deal. He's coming off a career season with the Rams in 2016 when he had 68 catches for 1,002 yards and five touchdowns on 111 targets. The catches and yards were career highs, and he heads to Cleveland with the hope of replacing Terrelle Pryor, who left as a free agent for Washington. With the Browns, Britt will have to contend with Corey Coleman for targets, and he could have quarterback issues, although that didn't exactly slow him down last season, when he had Case Keenum and Jared Goff throwing to him with the Rams. We want Britt to prove that 2016 wasn't a fluke before trusting him as a viable Fantasy option, and he's only worth drafting with a late-round pick in the majority of leagues.


Smith, Torrey - PHI

Smith, Torrey

Torrey Smith is happy to escape San Francisco after a dismal two-year stint, and he signed a three-year, $15 million deal with Philadelphia this offseason. With the Eagles, Smith will be the No. 2 receiver opposite Alshon Jeffery, but he also has to contend with Jordan Matthews, Zach Ertz and Darren Sproles taking away targets. Smith had just 53 catches for 930 yards and seven touchdowns in two seasons with the 49ers. By comparison, he had at least 49 catches, 767 yards and seven touchdowns in three of his first four years in Baltimore to start his career. Smith is never going to be considered a must-start Fantasy option with the Eagles given his role as mostly just a deep threat in what should be a crowded and talented receiving corps. But his Fantasy value improves going to Philadelphia and hopefully getting a quarterback upgrade in second-year starter Carson Wentz. We view Smith as just a late-round flier in most leagues, and he can be a spot starter in deeper formats when he has a plus matchup during the season.


GINN, TED - NO

GINN, TED

Ted Ginn won't quite replace Brandin Cooks in New Orleans, at least not statistically, but it doesn't mean he won't have a good role and a chance at some really good weeks. Ginn's deep speed, combined with the Saints' fast track at home and their really good quarterback creates a positive environment for Fantasy stats. In a more run-oriented offense in Carolina the last two seasons, Ginn had nearly 100 targets per season, with over 700 yards and 14 total scores. His catch rate wasn't great but the number of opportunities and the end result stood out. Entering his 11th season, Ginn is still one of the league's fastest receivers. Even with the reputation of dropping passes from time to time (including seven last season), he's in the right spot to help Fantasy owners as a quality reserve during bye weeks or in deeper formats. Round 11 is a good time to take a spin on Ginn. 


Woods, Robert - LAR

Woods, Robert

The Rams made a significant investment in Robert Woods this offseason with a five-year deal worth $39 million, including $15 million guaranteed. While he was the No. 1 receiver in Buffalo last season with Sammy Wakins (foot) hurt, Woods caught 51 passes for 613 yards and one touchdown on 74 targets. However, he had never had more than 65 catches, 700 receiving yards or five touchdowns in any of the first four seasons of his career with the Bills. Maybe he can jumpstart his production as the replacement for Kenny Britt in Los Angeles (Britt led the team with 68 catches for 1,002 yards and five touchdowns on 111 targets and left as a free agent for Cleveland), but you shouldn't expect it. Still, Woods does have some sleeper appeal as the potential No. 1 receiver for the Rams, and hopefully coach Sean McVay and quarterback Jared Goff can finally bring out the best in Woods as a Fantasy option this year. He's worth a late-round pick in all leagues, especially in PPR formats.


MARSHALL, BRANDON - NYG

MARSHALL, BRANDON

Marshall's production dwarfed his 109/1,502/14 stat line from last season, contributing toward the Jets' significant regression. While it was always going to be difficult for the 32-year-old to match last year's output, the fact that Eric Decker (shoulder) played just three games lastr season should've benefited Marshall's fantasy stock. Although New York's quarterback play proved wildly unreliable, Marshall's seven drops didn't help the team's cause, and his 47.2 catch percentage ranked 143rd out of 144 qualifying players, ESPN's Rich Cimini reports. After frustrations from both he and the Jets' season boiled over toward the end of the campaign, it was no surprise that he is no longer playing for Gang Green, but the good news is that he didn't have to change his address, picking right back up with the Giants in the same stadium. Marshall will be part of a truly talented WR corps with Beckham, Shepard, and Evans playing for big blue. The question is really is one football enough for all of those pass catchers? As such, you should view Marshall as no better than a No. 3 fantasy WR.


Jeffery, Alshon - PHI

Jeffery, Alshon

The Eagles and Alshon Jeffery are a match made in heaven -- for at least one year. Jeffery will spend 2017 with Philly after five star-crossed seasons in Chicago. Last year he quietly averaged a strong 15.8 yards per catch, the second-best mark of his career, but scored only twice over 52 receptions. That's a troubling trend from Jeffery as he has six touchdowns in 21 games since he became the focal point of a passing game. Even though he'll share the field with Torrey Smith, Jordan Matthews and Zach Ertz, he'll still be in that same role with the Eagles. He's also injury prone, dealing with hamstring, calf and knee injuries over the past few years, not to mention a suspension that cost him four games in '16. Jeffery has his fair share of red flags, but Fantasy owners will still target him as a good No. 2 receiver because of his lead gig with an Eagles offense that should throw the ball a bunch. Round 3 in all formats is probably when you'll see him get taken.   


Pryor Sr, Terrelle - WAS

Pryor Sr, Terrelle

Expectations are growing for receiver Terrelle Pryor now that he signed with the Redskins. Why wouldn't they? Last year he caught passes from five different mediocre Browns quarterbacks and still managed to top 1,000 yards and 75 receptions. Now he'll play in a similar offense and catch passes from Kirk Cousins, a big-time upgrade. He'll also replace Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson as outside receiving threats and should lock up at least 100 targets just like the ex-Redskins did last season. But more importantly, Pryor will get more opportunities in the end zone after landing just 13 targets in the red zone and four inside the 10-yard line in 2016. With better quality targets coming his way, and more touchdown opportunities in the offing, Pryor has the feel of a breakout receiver worth taking by the end of Round 3 in any format and as a top 15-16 fantasy WR.


Hunter, Justin - PIT

Hunter, Justin

The Steelers are taking a chance on Justin Hunter this season after he signed with Pittsburgh in the offseason. Hunter will have to prove himself since the Steelers have plenty of bodies at receiver, including Antonio Brown, Eli Rogers, Sammie Coates and Darrius Heyward-Bey. Martavis Bryant can also be in the mix if he's reinstated from his suspension, so Hunter isn't likely to make a huge difference for Fantasy owners. He only had 10 catches for 189 yards and four touchdowns in 2016 on 24 targets, and he's not worth drafting in the majority of leagues this year.


Roberts, Andre - ATL

Roberts, Andre

Andre Roberts will compete for a special-teams role in training camp with the Falcons this summer. While he might do well returning kicks and punts for Atlanta, he's unlikely to make much of an offensive impact. He's barely worth putting on any Fantasy radar. 


Aiken, Kamar - IND

Aiken, Kamar

Kamar Aiken left the Ravens for the Colts, citing an inability to move up the pecking order among Ravens receivers. Moving up in Indianapolis shouldn't be too hard for Aiken, who is expected to vie for the No. 3 receiver's role with Phillip Dorsett. Aiken's versatile enough to line up anywhere for Indianapolis and good enough to move the chains as a short- and mid-range receiver. He's probably only worth drafting if something happens to one of the receivers ahead of him on the Colts' depth chart, but if given the opportunity to play regularly, should be a decent NFL reserve. We wouldn't trust him in fantasy until he cements his status as a real threat and until Luck is proven to be healthy.


JACKSON, DESEAN - TB

JACKSON, DESEAN

DeSean Jackson signed with the Buccaneers this offseason for three years, $35 million, with $20 million guaranteed, and he will be the starter on the opposite side of the field from Mike Evans in Tampa Bay. We'll see if this is a quarterback downgrade for him going from Kirk Cousins to Jameis Winston, as Jackson also goes from being the No. 1 receiver with the Redskins to a clear No. 2 in Tampa Bay. Still, he'll be a good source of big plays, and he's coming off leading the NFL in yards per catch in 2016 at 17.9. It came on 56 catches for 1,005 yards and four touchdowns on 100 targets, and Jackson is still capable of stats of this caliber with his new team. Now, the risk is he takes too much of a backseat in Tampa Bay, which lowers his Fantasy value, but if you view him as a boom-or-bust No. 3/4 Fantasy receiver with a mid-round pick then you should be okay. There will be weeks where Jackson wins your Fantasy matchup, and others when he'll disappear, so just know what you're getting when you draft Jackson this season.


Holmes, Andre - BUF

Holmes, Andre

Andre Holmes signed with the Bills this offseason, where he will compete to be the No. 2 receiver opposite Sammy Watkins. It could be a great opportunity for Holmes, who has posted mediocre stats over most of his career with Dallas and Oakland. In 2016 with the Raiders, Holmes was the No. 4 receiver behind Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree and Seth Roberts and finished with 14 catches for 126 yards and three touchdowns on 25 targets. He could have value during the season if he wins the No. 2 job, but he has to prove himself to Fantasy owners first. Don't draft Holmes in the majority of leagues, but if he starts out the season playing well then add him off waivers. 


Cooks, Brandin - NE

Cooks, Brandin

The Patriots traded for receiver Brandin Cooks this offseason, giving New England a dimension it hasn't had in a while. Cooks is expected to be used as a field-stretching deep-speed threat along the outside of the formation. That was his role with the Saints, one that netted him over 75 catches, 1,100 yards and eight touchdowns each of the last two seasons. You might think he'll be in line for at least that many with the Patriots, but keep in mind how varied Tom Brady's offense is. They change their plan of attack from week to week and are loaded with pass-catchers at every position, most of whom already have established chemistry with Brady. That said, with Edelman gone, Cooks' role is expected to expand a bit. For Cooks to land the kind of numbers we're used to seeing, he'll have to either catch a bunch of deep balls for touchdowns or average the 7.7 targets per game he had in the past two seasons with the Saints. Mind you, the only non-slot receivers to average even 6.7 targets per game from Brady in the last seven years are Brandon Lloyd and Brandon LaFell, both of whom had less than 1,000 yards and seven scores or fewer. We see Cooks as a very good fantasy WR2.


Wheaton, Markus - CHI

Wheaton, Markus

Markus Wheaton signed with the Bears and will battle for playing time this fall. In four years with the Steelers, Wheaton averaged 14.1 yards per catch and scored eight times over 107 receptions, but had just one game with over 100 yards and one more with over 90 yards. There is a chance he lands a starting job with the Bears, but unless both he and quarterback Mike Glennon take off to levels they've never been to previously, he'll be a waste of a roster spot. Don't draft him. 


Quick, Brian - WAS

Quick, Brian

Brian Quick signed with the Redskins this offseason, where he's expected to compete for a roster spot as a reserve receiver. Quick could be the No. 4 receiver for the Redskins behind Terrelle Pryor, Jamison Crowder and Josh Doctson, and maybe playing with a capable quarterback in Kirk Cousins will help Quick fulfill his potential. He spent the first five seasons of his career with the Rams, and his best year was 2016 when he had 41 catches for 564 yards and three touchdowns on 79 targets. Keep an eye on Quick in training camp and the preseason, and he could be someone to monitor during the year, but we don't recommend drafting Quick in the majority of leagues.


Robinson, Aldrick - SF

Robinson, Aldrick

After scoring twice last season with the Falcons, Aldrick Robinson followed Kyle Shanahan to San Francisco, where the two will work together in their third different city. Robinson will battle for playing time in a 49ers offense considered a work in progress. He's not expected to help you dominate your Fantasy league. 


DECKER, ERIC - TEN

DECKER, ERIC

Decker flashed superstar numbers early in 2016, but an injury ended his season. Now he has joined with the Titans to form a formidable pass catching corps and perhaps insert himself as the true No. 1 WR. With Rishard Matthews, Tajee Sharpe, and Corey Davis joining the fray along with Delanie Walker and two stud RBs, we're not sure how big of numbers any WR will be able to put up, so we are cautiously viewing Decker as a fantasy WR 3.


GARCON, PIERRE - SF

GARCON, PIERRE

Pierre Garcon wasn't the most high-profile free agent signing this offseason, but his move to San Francisco could be one of the best for Fantasy owners. Garcon left the Redskins for the 49ers on a five-year, $47.5 million deal, including $17 million guaranteed. He will be the No. 1 receiver in a Kyle Shanahan offense, which has been good for guys in the past during Shanahan's days as an offensive coordinator, including Andre Johnson in Houston, Julio Jones in Atlanta and Garcon himself in Washington. In 2013, Garcon was the No. 1 receiver for the Redskins when Shanahan was calling plays, and he had 113 catches for 1,346 yards and five touchdowns on 184 targets. We don't expect Garcon to be that productive -- he's 30 now and will have questionable quarterback play with Brian Hoyer as the likely starter -- but he should be featured quite a bit. He's coming off a year in 2016 with 79 catches for 1,041 yards and three touchdowns on 116 targets, and he should come close to that production, if not exceed it. Garcon should be considered a sleeper with a mid-round pick in all leagues. He's a good option as a fantasy WR3.


Wright, Kendall - CHI

Wright, Kendall

Kendall Wright, a perennial Fantasy Football disappointment, will try to lock up a starting job with the Bears this fall. There's a very good chance Wright works as Chicago's slot receiver or even top WR with Meredith's injury, though the passing offense has only modest expectations with Mike Glennon and Mitchell Trubisky working as the quarterbacks. He would have to stay healthy and pick up well north of 100 targets in order to be effective in Fantasy. Wright should be worthy of a last round flier in case he emerges as the Bears top WR. 




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