Ask the Commish.Com

The Fantasy Advisors

     

2019 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2019 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2018 Top Performances
-2018 Most Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2018 Median Fantasy Points
-2018 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2019 Schedule
-Easiest 2019 Playoff Schedule

2018 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2018 Most Targets
-2018 Most Carries
-2018 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2018 Redzone Passing
-2018 Redzone Rushing
-2018 Redzone Receiving
-2018 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2019
Draft Kit

WR Moving Truck Tracker

 

JACKSON, DESEAN - PHI

JACKSON, DESEAN

The Eagles hope a familiar face will give them the deep-threat receiver they've sorely needed. DeSean Jackson is back after spending three years with the Redskins and two with the Buccaneers, totaling 21 touchdowns in 66 games with a 17.8 yard receiving average. Despite being 32 years old to begin this season, Jackson remains one of the NFL's fastest receivers and should be a quality option for quarterback Carson Wentz, who ranked among the league's better deep-ball passers in 2017 and 2018. Philadelphia has also been one of the most pass-happy teams since Doug Pederson took over the play-calling, which should give Jackson a shot at over 100 targets. If that comes to pass, Jackson could put up another 1,000-yard campaign since he's averaged over 10 yards per target in five of his last six seasons. He hasn't played 16 games since 2013 (with Philly) and has been on the field for 14 or fewer games three times in the past four seasons, so the injury risk is real. He's also seen his catch rate dip below 60 percent over the past two years with the Bucs. But those negatives aren't steep enough to keep Jackson from being a speculative pick in Round 9 in all formats as a quality bench receiver with potential to grow into a boom-or-bust starter.


Butler, Brice - MIA

Butler, Brice

Butler played two games with the Cowboys, during which time he failed to bring in his only target, before signing a two-year contract with the Dolphins. The 28-year-old will compete for a depth role in Miami this offseason, and carries a cap hit of $805,000 in 2019.


Humphries, Adam - TEN

Humphries, Adam

Fantasy managers discovered Adam Humphries as a reliable slot target in Tampa Bay. Can he do the same in Tennessee? The career-high 76 receptions he had in 2018 are more than any wide receiver has had with Marcus Mariota over his entire career, so it's not exactly a safe bet. The Titans also insist on becoming more of a run-heavy team, not a pass-friendly one. Humphries signing with them was great for his personal life, but it won't help Fantasy bosses. A PPR-only type of option given the volume of short-area catches he gets, Humphries can be had late on Draft Day for bench depth. Don't expect another career-year.


Matthews, Jordan - SF

Matthews, Jordan

Matthews spent last summer with the Patriots but suffered an injury and was cut before the season. He joined the Eagles and debuted in Week 3 with several wideouts injured, and Matthews managed to keep a role most of the year as the No. 4 guy behind Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor, and Golden Tate. He caught 21 passes total for 337 yards and three touchdowns across 16 games. Still young at 26, Matthews just hasn't been the same since his early years in Philly due to recurring injuries. Signed by the 49ers as a free agent in the spring, Matthews' future is totally up in the air.


Crowder, Jamison - NYJ

Crowder, Jamison

Jamison Crowder is the new slot receiver for the Jets this year after signing as a free agent in March. He should be a primary target for Sam Darnold, along with Robby Anderson, Quincy Enunwa, Chris Herndon and Le'Veon Bell. Crowder has the chance to be a quality Fantasy receiver in all leagues. He played well to close 2018 in Washington with at least 12 PPR points in two of his final four games, and that was with mediocre quarterback play. Crowder should benefit playing with Darnold, and he's someone to target around Round 9 in all formats, with his value higher in PPR.


Moncrief, Donte - PIT

Moncrief, Donte

After trading away Antonio Brown to the Raiders for a couple of measly picks, the Steelers signed Donte Moncrief to "replace" him. At 6-foot-2, Moncrief gives Pittsburgh a big-bodies receiver to work the sideline and haul in high-percentage passes from Ben Roethlisberger. Before Moncrief suffered some nagging injuries, he was a good touchdown target for Andrew Luck. Unless the Steelers get James Washington or a rookie to step up opposite JuJu Smith-Schuster, Moncrief could be a suitable starter for them and a bottom-of-the-barrel bench receiver for your Fantasy team. You won't get laughed at if you take Moncrief with one of your last two picks on Draft Day.


Funchess, Devin - IND

Funchess, Devin

The Colts are excited to add Devin Funchess to their receiving corps, but will he transform into a reliable Fantasy option? Funchess has been subpar throughout his career, notching career-highs in 2017 when he was the de facto No. 1 receiver for the Panthers and was pelted with targets. Odds are slim he'll come close to 100 targets in Indianapolis, making Funchess more of a touchdown-dependent receiver. That being said, Andrew Luck is an absolute maestro in the red zone and Funchess gives him another big body for defenses to deal with. Funchess also could be the pet project of coach Frank Reich, who admitted to liking his route-running skills. Don't be surprised to see Funchess get picked late in Fantasy drafts as a low-risk sleeper, and also don't be surprised if he winds up being a taller version of Donte Moncrief, who never amounted to huge numbers in Indy's offense.


Williams, Tyrell - OAK

Williams, Tyrell

The Raiders signed receiver Tyrell Williams to a four-year, $44 million contract this season, and he's expected to start opposite Antonio Brown. Williams should have the chance for a healthy amount of targets in Oakland, which wasn't always the case with the Chargers. In 2018, Williams only had three games with more than five targets, and he only scored double digits in PPR in four outings. We saw in 2016 when Keenan Allen was out for the Chargers with a torn ACL that Williams could be a quality Fantasy option. That season, Williams scored at least 12 PPR points in 10 games. He might not perform at that level with the Raiders, but that would be the hope since he should get more passes thrown in his direction. He's worth drafting in all leagues with a late-round pick.


AMENDOLA, DANNY - DET

AMENDOLA, DANNY

Danny Amendola signed with Detroit this offseason, and he's expected to be the slot receiver for the Lions. The 33-year-old receiver will likely have a similar season to what he had with the Dolphins in 2018, and he scored at least 13 PPR points in four of 14 games. Detroit's top two receivers will be Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones, and Amendola will have the chance to be No. 3 in terms of targets for quarterback Matthew Stafford. Amendola is only worth a late-round pick in deeper PPR leagues this season.


TATE, GOLDEN - NYG

TATE, GOLDEN

Let's forget about the experiment in Philadelphia for a moment. Before the trade, Tate was on his way to his third straight 90-catch, 1,000-yard season in Detroit. There are plenty of targets available in New York, Odell Beckham was getting 10 per game. Tate doesn't need all of those to be a value where he's likely to be drafted. Pencil him in for 80 catches and close to 1,000 yards. He's a guy you'll be starting most weeks in PPR. The Giants don't have a true No. 1, but they do have Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram. It may be difficult for Tate to get more than 110 targets, which isn't enough if he doesn't drastically improve his yards per reception. Tate will also be 31 when the season starts and just posted his lowest catch rate (65 percent) since 2013. He also hasn't averaged better than 11.8 Y/R since 2014. If neither of those improve in 2019, he'll struggle to make an impact in Fantasy.


Brown, John - BUF

Brown, John

John Brown's arrival in Buffalo stands to be his last chance to be more than just an occasional contributor in Fantasy. Known for his speed, Brown is the kind of downfield threat who can turn Josh Allen's cannonballs into touchdowns. Of the 215 receptions in Brown's career, 40 have gone for 20-plus yards and 13 have been good for at least 40 yards. He also got off to a hot start last season with Joe Flacco, connecting for 10-plus Fantasy points in non-PPR in three of his first four games (one more the rest of the season). The lure of Brown putting up some bombastic Fantasy numbers will get him involved in the late-round conversation - while there's not a lot of consistency to his production, he will offer boom-or-bust potential that could make him start-worthy during the bye weeks.


Beckham Jr., Odell - CLE

Beckham Jr., Odell

Arguably the most talented wide receiver in the NFL has finally escaped Eli Manning and gets to play with one of the most exciting young quarterbacks in the league. Beckham is still just 26 years old and already has three seasons with 1,300 yards and 10-plus touchdowns on his resume. His new offense showed flashes of explosiveness once Baker Mayfield took over, and that was with Jarvis Landry as their No. 1 receiver. Speaking of Landry, he and Nick Chubb should help draw attention away from Beckham. On a per-game basis it's hard to find a more exciting receiver in football. And it's hard to imagine a more exciting landing spot for him than Cleveland. For one thing, you probably don't want to cite a 16-game pace for Beckham because he's played 16 games exactly once in his five-year career. Those injuries don't appear to be connected to each other so it may just be dumb luck, but it's at least something to remember. More concerning for me would be the uncertainty in Cleveland. The upside and talent is immense, but Mayfield's track record is about as long as that of Freddie Kitchens, which shows a propensity to spread the ball around. Landry led the team with 149 targets last year, but his target rate cratered when Kitchens and Mayfield took over. He had double-digit targets seven times in the team's first eight games, but not once with Kitchens calling plays. Beckham should certainly demand more attention than Landry, but it's not yet known if he'll receive the 10.5 targets per game he received in New York.


BROWN, ANTONIO - OAK

BROWN, ANTONIO

It's not hard to make a case for Antonio Brown in Fantasy Football. It's not that hard to make a case for him as the best receiver of his generation. He has six straight seasons with more than 100 catches. He has at least 1,400 yards or 12 touchdowns in all of those seasons. That's available in the late second round? What more convincing do you need? Obviously, the case against Brown starts with the fact he's no longer in Pittsburgh. Brown wasn't made by Ben Roethlisberger by any stretch of the imagination, but there's also a wide chasm between Roethlisberger and Derek Carr. Brown is the lone star on this offense, which means he'll get all of the attention from the defense. He's used to that, but he's not used to having a quarterback like Carr who wants to get the ball out as soon as possible. He'll also turn 31 before the season, and his yards per target in 2018 were lower than they've been since 2012. That won't likely improve with Carr throwing him the ball.


Perriman, Breshad - TB

Perriman, Breshad

Breshad Perriman came on a little bit late last season with the Browns (two scores in his last three games). It was enough to get him a shot to make the Buccaneers roster this summer. Packed with potential as a fast, 6-foot-2 wide receiver, Perriman figures to work as a situational deep-ball threat in Bruce Arians' explosive offense. Bucs quarterback Jameis Winston had a tough time connecting deep with Desean Jackson last year, so odds are he'll struggle similarly with Perriman. He's not worth adding to Fantasy rosters.


BEASLEY, COLE - BUF

BEASLEY, COLE

Cole Beasley signed with Buffalo this offseason, and he's expected to be the slot receiver for the Bills. Buffalo has a revamped receiving corps this year with John Brown and Tyler Kroft joining Beasley, and we'll also see how the Bills use their young receivers in Robert Foster and Zay Jones. Beasley's role should be defined, and he should become a reliable weapon for second-year quarterback Josh Allen. In 2018, Beasley scored double digits in PPR points in six games for the Cowboys, and he has at least 65 catches and 670 yards in two of the past three seasons. He's worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues, with his value slightly higher in PPR.


Cooper, Pharoh - ARI

Cooper, Pharoh

Cooper will attempt to get payback less than a week removed from his former employer cutting him loose. He likely hasn't had a enough time in the system to get reps in a lacking receiving corps outside of Larry Fitzgerald. However, Cooper's All-Pro pedigree as a returner could be on full display.


Conley, Chris - JAC

Conley, Chris

Chris Conley signed with the Jaguars this offseason after spending the first four seasons of his career with the Chiefs, and he will look to be a significant contributor with the Jaguars right away. Jacksonville needs help at receiver with Marqise Lee (knee) coming back from injury, as well as young players at the position with Dede Westbrook, Keelan Cole and DJ Chark. Depending on Lee's health, Conley should be one of the top three receivers on the team. Now, that doesn't mean he'll be Fantasy relevant in most leagues, but he is the only receiver on the roster with a history with Nick Foles after the two played together in Kansas City in 2016. Keep an eye on Conley in training camp, as he could be worth a late-round flier in deeper formats.


Cobb, Randall - DAL

Cobb, Randall

Randall Cobb is expected to replace Cole Beasley as the Cowboys' slot receiver, but it doesn't mean much for his Fantasy prospects. In seven seasons with Dallas, Beasley never had more than 98 targets, only once had more than 65 receptions, only once had more than 675 yards and never had more than five touchdowns. Cobb's declining skill set doesn't do him any favors - in the four seasons since breaking out in 2014, he's scored 16 times, missed 11 games and totaled over 100 yards in just three games. Worse yet, he had two games last season with 10-plus Fantasy points in both non-PPR and PPR formats. Sadly, it's over for Cobb - let someone else take a chance on him on Draft Day.


HOGAN, CHRIS - CAR

HOGAN, CHRIS

Chris Hogan signed with the Panthers this offseason, and he's expected to be their No. 3 receiver behind D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel. Now, that doesn't mean Hogan will have much upside because Christian McCaffrey also factors into the passing game for Carolina, as does the tight end. And as we've seen from Hogan, he isn't exactly a Fantasy star. Hogan spent the past three seasons in New England, and he was a Fantasy disappointment in 2018, finishing with just five games with double digits in PPR points. He could be worth a late-round flier if he develops a rapport with Cam Newton right away, but you're likely better off targeting Hogan as a waiver-wire option during the season.


THOMAS, DEMARYIUS - NE

THOMAS, DEMARYIUS

Here's Demaryius Thomas' last six months: A trade-deadline deal; a wrist injury; a torn Achilles. Then he became a free agent, then a car accident led to an arrest, and finally, he signed with the Patriots. The 31-year-old Thomas will have to fully recover from his Achilles injury and earn a consistent spot in the lineup for the Patriots. Until that happens, Fantasy managers shouldn't bother drafting or rostering him.




Previous   Next

© 2019 ATC All rights reserved.