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Sit or Start for Week 16
December 21, 2024 (Updated Every Thursday)
Risks...
Jayden Daniels vs Eagles
- The Eagles rank #1 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Daniels completed 25 of 31 pass attempts for 226 yards and a pair of touchdowns while taking 11 carries for 66 yards in Sunday's 20-19 win over New Orleans.
Daniels picked apart the opposition by completing 81 percent of his passes while using his legs to extend multiple drives in Sunday's one-point victory. The promising rookie recorded his fourth game with multiple touchdowns and no turnovers through 14 starts as a pro. As of the conclusion of this game, the 9-5 Commanders still have an outside shot at the NFC East title, so expect inspired play from Daniels against the first-place Eagles next Sunday.
Justin Herbert vs Broncos
- He is currently listed as Questionable on the injury report, and may wind up being a dreaded GTD (Game Time Decision).Herbert completed 21 of 33 pass attempts for 195 yards, two touchdowns and one interception without recording a rushing attempt in Sunday's 40-17 loss to Tampa Bay.
Herbert was limited in practice by a pair of lower-body injuries, but he did not carry an injury designation into Sunday's blowout loss. The star quarterback threw his first interception in nearly three calendar months (Week 2 at Carolina) after the team adopted head coach Jim Harbaugh's mistake-free style of play. It was an overall odd game from Herbert, who also did not record an official rushing attempt for the first time this season. The Chargers will need to have a short memory following the ugly loss before hosting the 9-5 Broncos on Thursday Night Football in Week 16.
Jalen Hurts vs Commanders
- The Commanders rank #4 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. He should be a NO BRAIN start this week and every week unless he is on a bye or injured. Hurts completed 25 of 32 passes for 290 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions in Sunday's 27-13 win over the Steelers. He added 15 rushes for 45 yards and an additional score.
The effectiveness of the Eagles' passing attack was in question throughout the week, as Hurts had failed to top 200 passing yards in three straight games. He silenced those questions in an excellent Week 15 showing by averaging 9.1 yards per attempt while completing six passes of at least 20 yards. Hurts also threw for multiple touchdowns for only the sixth time this season, while supplementing it with his 14th rushing score of the campaign. All of that production came despite playing through a broken finger, an injury that Hurts confirmed after the game, per Jeff McLane of The Philadelphia Inquirer.
Patrick Mahomes vs Texans
- He is currently listed as Questionable on the injury report, and may wind up being a dreaded GTD (Game Time Decision). Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week.Mahomes (ankle) admitted after Sunday's 21-7 win over the Browns that he's uncertain if he'll be able to play in the Chiefs' Week 16 game Saturday versus the Texans, Adam Teicher of ESPN.com reports. "It's hard to say right now,'' Mahomes said, when asked about his status for Week 16. "You still [have the] adrenaline rolling and usually it's kind of the day after when you kind of get a good sense of it...You just do what you have to do to get back, and I think that's the most important thing. And now we just get back to the rehab part, the treatment part, and try to get ourselves ready on a short week against a good football team."
Mahomes left Sunday's game midway through the fourth quarter after taking a hit to his right ankle while throwing an incomplete fourth-down pass. With the Chiefs holding a 14-point lead by the time they regained possession with 5:23 left in the quarter, head coach Andy Reid opted to go with Carson Wentz at quarterback for the rest of the game. Reid said after the contest that Mahomes' ankle wasn't broken, but the Chiefs fear that the signal-caller may have suffered a high-ankle sprain, according to Ian Rapoport of NFL Network. Mahomes is scheduled undergo further testing Monday, but if the high-ankle sprain is confirmed, he'll likely be viewed as week-to-week and would likely face an uphill battle to get cleared for the matchup with the Texans. With three games left in the regular season, the 13-1 Chiefs currently sit two games ahead of the 11-3 Bills for the top seed in the AFC, a reality that could prompt Kansas City to take a more cautious approach with Mahomes over the next few weeks to ensure he's in optimal health for the postseason.
Brock Purdy vs Dolphins
- The Dolphins rank #5 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Purdy completed 14 of 31 passes for 142 yards with no touchdowns and one interception and rushed once for three yards in the 49ers' 12-6 loss to the Rams on Thursday night.
Purdy was able to engineer a short 39-yard drive on the 49ers' second possession that culminated in a field goal, but San Francisco punted the other six times it had the ball in the first half. After another modest 34-yard march that led to three more points to open the second half, Purdy scuffled throughout most of the rest of the contest and also threw an interception on a deep shot to Jauan Jennings with just over five minutes remaining in the game. The Rams would subsequently embark on a marathon 13-play drive that left Purdy with just 11 seconds to try and get the 50 yards necessary for a potential game-winning score, but he threw incomplete and took a sack on the final two plays. Purdy now has thrown for 159 yards or fewer in three of his past four games heading into a Week 16 road trip to face the Dolphins on Sunday, Dec. 22.
Anthony Richardson vs Titans
- The Titans rank #3 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Richardson completed 17 of 38 passes for 172 yards with two interceptions while rushing seven times for 46 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 31-13 loss to the Broncos.
Richardson scored a 23-yard rushing touchdown on the opening drive, marking his fourth rushing score in the past four games. He hasn't been nearly as successful with his arm as his with his legs, and Richardson's accuracy issues unsurprisingly resurfaced against the tough Broncos secondary. He completed just 44.7 percent of his passes and was intercepted twice, dropping his TD:INT as a passer to 7:11. Richardson's rushing ability should keep him fantasy-relevant in Week 16 against the Titans, but he'll have a low floor due to his struggles through the air.
Mason Rudolph vs Colts
- Analyzing various factors very carefully, we do not expect him to post quality fantasy stats this week.Rudolph completed 21 of 26 passes for 209 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in Sunday's 37-27 loss to the Bengals. He added two rushes for 14 yards.
Rudolph took over under center after Will Levis was benched early in the third quarter. He was more effective than Levis, though his two touchdown passes came in garbage with the latter coming on the final play of the game. Levis has been the starter for Tennessee when healthy, though Rudolph may get his chance to lead the team to close out the campaign.
Rewards...
Josh Allen vs Patriots
- He should be a NO BRAIN start this week and every week unless he is on a bye or injured. Allen completed 23 of 34 passes for 362 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions and rushed 11 times for 68 yards and another two scores in the Bills' 48-42 win over the Lions on Sunday.
One week after a record-setting six-touchdown performance, Allen and his juggernaut of an offense actually one-upped themselves in terms of total points. Allen himself fell short of his unforgettable Week 14 effort against the Rams, but he strengthened his MVP case with a mistake-free day that featured a season-high passing yardage total and his third consecutive multi-touchdown-pass tally. Allen's work on the ground was no less impressive, and his one- and four-yard rushing scores in the first quarter were his fourth and fifth over the last pair of contests. Ryan O'Halloran of The Buffalo News reports that Allen fell on his right throwing shoulder late in the contest and was briefly examined, but he confirmed in his postgame conference that he'd been cleared after an evaluation, per
Joe Burrow vs Browns
- Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week.Burrow completed 26 of 37 passes for 271 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions in Sunday's 37-27 win over the Titans. He also lost a fumble.
Burrow's second pass of the game was picked off, but he bounced back with a six-yard touchdown pass to Chase Brown on Cincinnati's second drive. The star quarterback turned it over again on the following possession by losing a red-zone fumble before responding with another game-tying touchdown pass, this time to defensive end Sam Hubbard from two yards out. Burrow finally gave the Bengals their first lead with his third touchdown pass of the first half, finding Tee Higgins for a 38-yard score. Cincinnati ran only six offensive plays in the third quarter, the last of which was Burrow's second interception and third turnover of the afternoon. The Bengals forced six turnovers themselves, so the offense continued to throttle down in the fourth, which kept Burrow 29 yards short of a fifth consecutive 300-yard performance. Burrow will look to add to his league-leading 36 touchdown passes in Week 16 against a Browns defense that held him to 181 passing yards back in Week 7.
JARED GOFF vs Bears
- Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week.Goff completed 38 of 59 passes for 494 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions in Sunday's 48-42 loss to the Bills. He added two rushes for 13 yards.
The Lions went down 14-0 in the first quarter and played from behind the entire contest, which led to a season-high 59 pass attempts for Goff. He converted that into an excellent stat line, including his second-most yards in any game of his career while matching a career-high with five touchdowns. He also completed five passes of at least 20 yards, highlighted by a 66-yard touchdown connection with Amon-Ra St. Brown late in the third quarter. While this was an outlier performance, Goff has at least three passing scores in half of Detroit's 10 games since their Week 5 bye and should remain an excellent starting option heading into a Week 16 matchup against the Bears.
Aidan O'Connell vs Jaguars
- The Jaguars rank #32 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. He is currently listed as Questionable on the injury report, and may wind up being a dreaded GTD (Game Time Decision). Analyzing various factors very carefully, we do not expect him to post quality fantasy stats this week.O'Connell (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Falcons, Paul Gutierrez of ESPN.com reports.
O'Connell didn't practice all week, but the Raiders are evidently giving the second-year quarterback every avenue possible to return Monday from an injury, later discovered to be a bone bruise, that was so serious it required an MRI earlier in the week. In the event O'Connell can't play, Las Vegas would likely turn to Desmond Ridder against his former team. Expect more clarification regarding O'Connell's status to come before the 8:30 p.m. ET kickoff Monday.
AARON RODGERS vs Rams
- Rodgers completed 16 of 30 passes for 289 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday's 32-25 win over the Jaguars. He also rushed five times for 45 yards and threw a two-point conversion.
Rodgers posted his third-highest passing yardage total of the campaign while setting a new season high in rushing yards in this throwback performance. He answered an opening-drive Jaguars touchdown with a 22-yard touchdown pass to Garrett Wilson, but the veteran quarterback finished the first half with just three completions and 55 passing yards. Rodgers bounced back in the third quarter with a go-ahead one-yard touchdown pass to Davante Adams, whom Rodgers connected with for a 43-yard gain earlier on the drive. After the Jets fell behind 22-17 in the fourth quarter, Rodgers found Adams for a 71-yard touchdown and a two-point conversion to take a three-point lead with 3:24 remaining, then linked up with Adams for a 41-yard gain to set up Breece Hall's game-winning touchdown run. Adams accounted for 198 of Rodgers' 289 passing yards, and their chemistry will be tough for the Rams to stop in Week 16.
COOPER RUSH vs Buccaneers
- The Buccaneers rank #29 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Rush completed 18 of 29 passes for 214 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions in Sunday's 30-14 win over the Panthers. He added four rushes for five yards.
Rush took some time to get the Cowboys' offense moving, but that changed on a drive early in the second quarter during which he went 5-for-5 with 70 yards and a 14-yard touchdown pass to CeeDee Lamb. He went on to tally two additional passing scores to Jalen Tolbert and Jalen Brooks to record the first three-touchdown game of his career and complete the blowout victory over Carolina. While it was a favorable matchup, Rush also averaged 7.4 yards per attempt -- his second-highest mark of the season -- to give him some momentum heading into another exploitable matchup in Week 16 against Tampa Bay.
Risks...
Gus Edwards vs Broncos
- The Broncos rank #4 in our Run Defense Power Rankings. Analyzing various factors very carefully, we do not expect him to post quality fantasy stats this week.Edwards rushed eight times for 23 yards and was not targeted as a receiver in Sunday's 40-17 loss to the Buccaneers.
Edwards couldn't get anything going on the ground, resulting in a mediocre 2.9 yards per carry. The power back isn't tailored for an offense trying to come back from a large deficit like the Chargers were Sunday. The 29-year-old has struggled in three starts since taking over for J.K. Dobbins (knee), averaging a meager 30.3 yards per game over that span. Edwards needs to show some life against the Broncos on Thursday or he may begin losing snaps to rookie Kimani Vidal.
DERRICK HENRY vs Steelers
- The Steelers rank #2 in our Run Defense Power Rankings. Henry rushed 14 times for 67 yards and wasn't targeted during the Ravens' 35-14 win over the Giants on Sunday.
With Lamar Jackson throwing five touchdown passes, Henry was in the rare role of forgotten man on offense Sunday. The bruising back's non-descript afternoon was his first of under 70 rushing yards without a touchdown during his nascent but stellar Ravens tenure. Henry may have a tough time bouncing back in a Week 16 Saturday afternoon home matchup against the Steelers considering the quality of Pittsburgh's run defense.
Alvin Kamara vs Packers
- He is currently listed as Questionable on the injury report, and may wind up being a dreaded GTD (Game Time Decision).Saints interim head coach Darren Rizzi said Monday that Kamara (groin) has been diagnosed with an adductor injury after initial medical imaging results, Ross Jackson of WWL Louisiana reports.
Kamara was forced out of New Orleans' 20-19 loss against Washington in Week 15 in the second half, and it's possible his groin injury could impact his availability for Monday night's road matchup against Green Bay on Dec. 23. If Kamara were to miss any time, second-year pro Kendre Miller and veteran Jamaal Williams would be positioned as the lead options in the Saints' backfield. Further details on Kamara's health may not be made available until later in Week 16, with New Orleans' first official practice scheduled to occur Thursday.
Joe Mixon vs Chiefs
- Mixon rushed 12 times for 23 yards and brought in five of six targets for 33 yards in the Texans' 20-12 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.
Mixon was held to his second-lowest rushing yardage total of the season -- both of which have come in the last three games -- but was at least partly able to make up for the downturn with solid output in the passing game. He appeared to get shaken up on a first-half play but never missed any time, and he was able to tie a season high in receptions with his work as a receiver. Mixon next takes aim at the Chiefs' solid defense in a Week 16 Saturday afternoon road battle.
Kenneth Walker III vs Vikings
- The Vikings rank #3 in our Run Defense Power Rankings. He is currently listed as Questionable on the injury report, and may wind up being a dreaded GTD (Game Time Decision).Walker (calf) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Packers.
Walker hasn't practiced since Wednesday, Dec. 4 due to a lingering calf injury, and considering he was listed as doubtful for Week 15 action, his lack of availability Sunday isn't much of a surprise. He'll turn his focus to getting healthy for next Sunday's matchup with the Vikings while yielding No. 1 RB duties to Zach Charbonnet for a second consecutive contest. Charbonnet netted 193 yards from scrimmage and two rushing TDs on 29 touches in Week 14 at Arizona, and Kenny McIntosh even tallied nine touches for 45 total yards in reserve.
Rewards...
De'Von Achane vs 49ers
- Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week.Achane rushed 12 times for 41 yards and brought in all seven targets for 35 yards in the Dolphins' 20-12 loss to the Texans on Sunday. He also fumbled once but possession remained with Miami.
Achane doubled up Raheem Mostert in carries and finished with his highest rushing yardage total since Week 11. While Achane failed to average even 4.0 yards per carry for the fourth straight contest, he was once again heavily involved as a receiver. He's recorded at least six catches in three straight games, but he'll aim to get back on track on the ground in a Week 16 home matchup against a 49ers defense that's had trouble against the run on occasion.
Jahmyr Gibbs vs Bears
- Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week.Gibbs appears positioned to inherit an increased backfield role, as David Montgomery (knee) is out indefinitely due to a potentially significant MCL injury sustained during Sunday's 48-42 loss to the Bills, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Gibbs piled up 114 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns during Sunday's loss to Buffalo, a contest in which Detroit was forced to play from behind and adopt a pass-heavy approach. Montgomery's MCL injury seems to have also factored into Gibbs' increased role, rather than the two operating in a fairly even timeshare, as per usual. Now, with Montgomery potentially in danger of missing the remainder of the 2024 campaign, per Ian Rapoport of NFL Network, Gibbs seems to be facing a clear path to workhorse opportunities down the stretch, making him matchup-proof. Gibbs hasn't required a hefty workload in order to produce this season, but with Craig Reynolds and Sione Vaki now positioned as his top complementary options, he seems positioned as the Lions' clear backfield leader heading into a road matchup against the Bears in Week 16.
Breece Hall vs Rams
- Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week.Hall (knee) rushed nine times for 30 yards and a touchdown while catching both of his targets for 21 yards in Sunday's 32-25 win over the Jaguars.
Hall wasn't efficient in his return after a one-game absence due to a knee injury, and he ceded a combined seven carries to Isaiah Davis and Braelon Allen, the latter of whom exited due to a back injury. The lead back salvaged his fantasy stat line with a one-yard rushing touchdown, which broke a 25-25 tie with 1:05 left in the fourth quarter. If Hall avoids any setbacks in practice, he'll likely get a larger workload in Week 16 against the Rams.
Bucky Irving vs Cowboys
- The Cowboys rank #30 in our Run Defense Power Rankings. Irving (back/hip) rushed 15 times for 117 yards while losing two yards on a pair of receptions in Sunday's 40-17 win over the Chargers.
Irving was truly a game-time decision after suffering injuries to his back and hip in last week's win over the Raiders. The explosive rookie was seen stretching his affected areas on the field leading up to Sunday's kickoff, but he looked crisp in action once play commenced. It was Irving's second 100-yard performance over his last three games, bringing the rookie up to 852 rushing yards on the year. Co-starter Rachaad White also saw 15 carries -- albeit with far less efficiency -- and brought in one of Baker Mayfield's four touchdown passes. Now healthy, Irving has a shot at increasing his national presence in a plus matchup against the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football in Week 16.
AARON JONES SR. vs Seahawks
- The Seahawks rank #29 in our Run Defense Power Rankings. Jones (back) was a full practice participant Friday.
Listed as limited for Thursday's walkthrough, Jones managed an upgrade in short order and figures to handle his usual role Monday night against a Bears defense that he ripped for 129 total yards and a touchdown three weeks ago. He's yet to miss a game this season, despite averaging 18.0 touches per contest in his age-30 campaign.
Bijan Robinson vs Giants
- The Giants rank #31 in our Run Defense Power Rankings. Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week.Robinson rushed 22 times for 92 yards and a touchdown and brought in both targets for nine yards in the Falcons' 42-21 loss to the Vikings on Sunday. He also had a two-point conversion run.
Facing a Vikings defense that had been one of the best in the league at stopping the run, Robinson put together a workman-like effort that saw him grind out 4.2 yards per tote with the second-highest carry total of his career. Robinson also recorded a rushing touchdown for the second consecutive game -- and fourth time in the last four contests -- on a 13-yard run late in the third quarter, and he's now eclipsed 90 rushing yards in three of his last four games as well. Robinson's workload pushed him over the 20-carry mark in consecutive games for the first time in his young career, affording him plenty of momentum as the fantasy playoffs begin and he heads into a favorable Week 15 road matchup against the Raiders on Monday night, Dec. 16.
Kyren Williams vs Jets
- He should be a NO BRAIN start this week and every week unless he is on a bye or injured. Williams rushed 29 times for 108 yards and brought in both targets for four yards in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers on Thursday night.
Williams accomplished the unlikely feat of recording 29 rush attempts for the second time in a four-day span, a testament to his ability to handle a true workhorse role while remaining productive. The third-year pro posted a new season-high single-game rushing yardage total in the process, as well as his third 100-yard effort of the campaign. Williams now will have some much-needed extra down time ahead of a Week 16 road battle against the Jets on Sunday, Dec. 22.
Risks...
Michael Pittman Jr. vs Titans
- The Titans rank #3 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Pittman caught six of nine targets for 58 yards and lost a fumble in Sunday's 31-13 loss to the Broncos.
Pittman fumbled at the end of a six-yard catch in the third quarter, but he led the Colts in targets, catches and receiving yards. Josh Downs had only 32 yards on eight targets after missing one game due to a shoulder injury, and Alec Pierce exited due to a concussion just before halftime. Pittman has at least seven targets in each of the past four games and should maintain a prominent role in the Colts' lackluster passing attack in Week 16 against the Titans.
CALVIN RIDLEY vs Colts
- Ridley recorded three receptions on five targets for 41 yards in Sunday's 37-27 loss to the Bengals. He added one rush for 19 yards.
Ridley saw his fewest targets since Week 4, though he still made explosive plays with the ball in his hands. He tallied long receptions of 21 and 16 yards and supplemented that with a 19-yard rush off the right end late in the third quarter. Even so, Ridley has 60 or fewer yards from scrimmage in four of his last five games.
Rewards...
KEENAN ALLEN vs Lions
- Allen (ankle) brought in three of five of targets for 30 receiving yards in Sunday's 38-13 loss to the 49ers.
Allen overcame a minor ankle injury during the practice week in order to suit up for Sunday's eventual loss. The seasoned veteran posted vanilla numbers on the heels of his two most-productive games. Allen has underwhelmed in Chicago outside of the two aforementioned performances, averaging just 3.7 receptions and 34.7 yards in nine other games this season. Perhaps the 32-year-old has finally lost a step in his 12th year, or his down numbers could simply be the result of the Bears' overall ineptitude on offense. Whatever the case, Allen checks in as a middling fantasy option ahead of next Monday's road tilt against the Vikings.
A.J. Brown vs Commanders
- Brown recorded eight receptions on 11 targets for 110 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 27-13 win over the Steelers.
Brown made headlines throughout the week after being critical of Philadelphia's passing offense, but he did his part to quiet that storyline by making a season-best eight receptions while topping 100 yards for the fifth time in 11 contests. His performance was highlighted by long receptions 21, 20, 19 and 17 yards as well as a five-yard touchdown late in the first quarter. Brown's strong performance was almost soured late in the game, when he got up slowly after an apparent hip-drop tackle, though he was spotted moving fine in the locker room following the win, per Eliot Shorr-Parks of Sports Radio 94 WIP Philadelphia.
Ja'Marr Chase vs Browns
- Chase caught nine of 11 targets for 94 yards in Sunday's 37-27 win over the Titans.
Chase didn't account for any of Joe Burrow's three first-half touchdown passes, but the star wideout posted a team-high 79 receiving yards heading into the locker room. The Bengals nursed a comfortable lead throughout the second half and didn't turn to the air much, though Chase still finished with team-leading totals in targets, catches and receiving yards. Chase will look to add to his impressive season totals of 102 catches for 1,413 yards and 15 touchdowns in Week 16 against the Browns.
BRANDIN COOKS vs Buccaneers
- The Buccaneers rank #29 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Cooks caught three of five targets for 34 yards in Sunday's win over the Panthers.
CeeDee Lamb dominated the looks from quarterback Cooper Rush with a 9-116-1 line on 13 targets, and while Cooks finished second on the Cowboys in targets, catches and receiving yards, it was Jalen Tolbert and Jalen Brooks who were on the other end of Rush's other two touchdowns. Cooks has seen limited volume since returning from a knee injury that cost him seven games in the middle of the season, posting a 7-53-2 line on 15 targets over the last three contests, and he'll be a TD-dependent fantasy option in Week 16 against Tampa Bay's vulnerable secondary.
MIKE EVANS vs Cowboys
- Evans had nine receptions on 11 targets for 159 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 40-17 win over the Chargers.
Evans showed no ill effects from the hamstring injury that limited him during the practice week, ripping off two long touchdown receptions in Sunday's lopsided victory. The nine receptions and 159 yards both marked new highs for the superstar wideout in 2024. Evans likely helped many fantasy managers advance in their respective playoff schedule, and he could be in for an encore against a middling Cowboys squad on Sunday Night Football in Week 16.
Tee Higgins vs Browns
- Higgins caught five of eight targets for 88 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 37-27 win over the Titans.
Higgins caught a 38-yard touchdown pass in the second quarter to break a 14-14 tie, and the Bengals led the rest of the way. He trailed only Ja'Marr Chase in targets, catches and receiving yards, finishing six yards shy of Chase's team-leading total. Higgins has at least 77 receiving yards in five of his last seven appearances and six touchdowns over that span, so he's been excellent when available. That production included 82 yards and a touchdown in Week 7 against the Browns, whom Higgins will face again Week 16.
CeeDee Lamb vs Buccaneers
- The Buccaneers rank #29 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. He should be a NO BRAIN start this week and every week unless he is on a bye or injured. Lamb recorded nine receptions on 13 targets for 116 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 30-14 win over the Panthers.
Lamb was peppered with targets throughout the game, as he accounted for 116 of Cooper Rush's 214 passing yards. He delivered long gains of 28 and 20 yards, while also finding the end zone from 14 yards away to tally the Cowboys' first touchdown of the game. Most importantly, Lamb looked to be healthier after being slowed by a shoulder injury for the last several weeks.
DK Metcalf vs Vikings
- The Vikings rank #30 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Metcalf collected all three of his targets for 28 yards in Sunday's 30-13 loss to the Packers.
Metcalf actually finished as Seattle's second-leading receiver despite seeing his fewest targets to date in 2024. That statistic highlights how poor of a passing performance Geno Smith (knee) and Sam Howell combined for against the Packers' rabid defense. Metcalf has taken a backseat to Jaxon Smith-Njigba (10-83-0) in the second half of the season, but the former still holds fantasy value heading into a Week 16 matchup against the Vikings.
Jakobi Meyers vs Jaguars
- The Jaguars rank #32 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Meyers (ankle) does not carry an injury designation ahead of Monday's contest against the Falcons, Paul Gutierrez of ESPN.com reports.
Meyers' status never seemed to be in jeopardy, and after practicing fully Saturday he's set to reprise a role that has yielded 36 targets over the past three games. Whether the passing game will remain functional is another question entirely, as starter Aidan O'Connell is technically listed as questionable despite failing to practice all week due to a knee bruise. In the event O'Connell is ruled out, the Raiders would likely turn to Desmond Ridder, who has compiled 239 yards and a touchdown on 44 pass attempts scattered across three spot appearances this season.
Malik Nabers vs Falcons
- The Falcons rank #28 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings. Nabers secured 10 of 14 targets for 82 yards and a touchdown in the Giants' 35-14 loss to the Ravens on Sunday.
Nabers led the Giants across the board in receiving categories while posting his third double-digit reception total of his career. The rookie sensation's numbers are all the more admirable considering the team's abysmal quarterback situation, which took another turn for the worse Sunday when Tim Boyle had to replace Tommy DeVito (concussion). Nabers could be working with any of Boyle, DeVito or Drew Lock (heel/elbow) in a Week 16 road matchup against the Falcons.
Puka Nacua vs Jets
- Nacua secured seven of eight targets for 97 yards in the Rams' 12-6 win over the 49ers on Thursday night. He also rushed twice for 11 yards.
Nacua comfortably led the Rams in receptions, receiving yards and targets, with his night boosted significantly by a 51-yard grab to ignite an early fourth-quarter drive. The second-year standout now has at least seven receptions and Thursday's yardage tally in six of the eight games he's played since returning from an IR stint due to a knee injury, affording him plenty of momentum heading into a Week 16 road matchup against the Jets on Sunday, Dec. 22.
Amon-Ra St. Brown vs Bears
- Analyzing various factors very carefully, we expect him to post nice fantasy stats this week. He should be a NO BRAIN start this week and every week unless he is on a bye or injured. St. Brown recorded 14 receptions on 18 targets for 193 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 48-42 loss to the Bills.
The Lions were forced into a pass-heavy offense as they chased the Bills all game, and the result was a career-best performance for St. Brown. The highlight came on a 66-yard touchdown catch and run, during which St. Brown split the Buffalo defense down the middle and out-raced several defenders to the end zone. He also chipped in long gains of 24, 31 and 16 yards to top 100 yards for the fourth time this season and for the first time since Week 11.
Courtland Sutton vs Chargers
- Sutton caught three of nine targets for 32 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 31-13 win over the Colts.
Sutton was quiet prior to scoring a 20-yard touchdown with 5:48 remaining in the fourth quarter. That play was enough to propel him into the team lead in receiving yards as Bo Nix threw for only 130 yards in this turnover-filled matchup. Sutton has seen at least eight targets in seven consecutive games heading into Thursday's clash with the Chargers, and this was the first time in that busy stretch that Sutton failed to reach 70 receiving yards. Look for him to bounce back this week.
ADAM THIELEN vs Cardinals
- Thielen recorded five receptions on seven targets for 51 yards in Sunday's 30-14 loss to the Cowboys.
The Panthers couldn't get their passing attack on track, with the only explosive play being an 83-yard touchdown pass to Jalen Coker. Thus, despite leading the team in targets and receptions, Thielen turned in a modest performance. Positively, he should remain Bryce Young's top target, though the overall state of the Carolina offense may lead to inconsistent results.
Risks...
ZACH ERTZ vs Eagles
- The Eagles rank #1 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings and #5 against fantasy TEs. He is currently listed as Questionable on the injury report, and may wind up being a dreaded GTD (Game Time Decision).Ertz won't return to Sunday's game in New Orleans due to a concussion.
Ertz was checked for a head injury in the second quarter before the Commanders made a ruling on his availability for the rest of Week 15. He'll finish the contest with two catches (on two targets) for 25 yards. John Bates and Ben Sinnott will handle TE reps for Washington in the second half and potentially beyond that point.
TRAVIS KELCE vs Texans
- Kelce secured four of eight targets for 27 yards in the Chiefs' 21-7 win over the Browns on Sunday.
The star tight end had a quiet afternoon by his standards, but it came on an afternoon when Patrick Mahomes averaged just 4.2 yards per attempt overall. Kelce finished third on the team in receptions and receiving yards while also checking in second in targets, and he'll head into a Week 16 home matchup against the Texans on Saturday afternoon with at least Sunday's catch total in four consecutive contests. Being that the Texans rank 4th against fantasy TEs, he's a good candidate to sit.
Cole Kmet vs Lions
- Kmet has a touch matchup against a Lions secondary that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to TEs.
Rewards...
Brock Bowers vs Jaguars
- This beast is the Raiders #1 target and the #2 TE in fantasy ppg, #1 in total fantasy points. He's a must start no matter the matchup.
Jake Ferguson vs Buccaneers
- The Buccaneers rank #29 in our Pass Defense Power Rankings and #27 against fantasy TEs. Ferguson recorded two receptions on four targets for 23 yards in Sunday's 30-14 win over the Panthers.
Dallas was able to take its foot off the gas in the second half thanks to a multi-score lead, and Cooper Rush attempted nine passes in the final two quarters. That limited volume for all pass catchers with the exception of CeeDee Lamb, and Ferguson saw only four targets -- good for third on the team -- as a result. The game script should look different in a Week 16 showdown with Tampa Bay, giving Ferguson a better chance to produce.
HUNTER HENRY vs Bills
- Henry brought in all four of his targets for 25 yards in Sunday's 30-17 loss to the Cardinals.
Henry finished first on the Patriots in receptions and second in targets Sunday, but he ranked fourth in receiving yards in a collective poor offensive showing by New England. The veteran tight end did set a new career high in receptions (64), and he is just 17 yards shy of his current best of 653 receiving yards set back in 2019. Henry's lack of touchdowns (one) holds him back from being a reliable option in fantasy ahead of next Sunday's tilt against Buffalo. With the Buffalo corners banged up, their LBs may play more zone coverages leaving more room for Henry to operate underneath.
T.J. Hockenson vs Seahawks
- Hockenson brought in five of seven targets for 52 yards in the Vikings' 30-12 win over the Bears on Monday night.
Hockenson played third wheel in the air attack to Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, but the veteran tight end still turned in a solid line that featured his second-highest catch total since Week 10. Hockenson also drew the second-most targets of any of his first seven games since his delayed season debut, and he should once again garner a fair amount of Sam Darnold's attention in a Week 16 road trip to Seattle.
GEORGE KITTLE vs Dolphins
- Kittle is the #1 TE in fantasy ppg, you have to start him.
Tucker Kraft vs Saints
- Kraft gathered in both targets for 34 yards during Sunday's 30-13 win at Seattle.
Kraft did most of his damage on a jump ball that he corralled for a 26-yard gain late in the second quarter, but he didn't see a target after that point, leaving him below 50 receiving yards for the fifth time in the past six games. During that span, he's mustered 15 catches for 179 yards on 21 targets, but he's salvaged two of those performances with TD catches. In an offense that has leaned toward the run most weeks since a Week 10 bye, Kraft must take full advantage of the handful of targets that he may receive, and he'll look to do just that Week 16 against the Saints on Monday Night Football.
Sam LaPorta vs Bears
- LaPorta recorded seven receptions on 10 targets for 111 yards in Sunday's 48-42 loss to the Bills.
Several of Detroit's primary pass catchers posted inflated stat lines as Jared Goff was forced to take to the air 59 times in negative game script. LaPorta delivered his best yardage total of the season as a result, highlighted by long gains of 31 and 22 yards to record the second 100-yard performance of his career. The Lions aren't likely to be down multiple scores often for the rest of the campaign, making this an outlier performance, though it was positive to see LaPorta finish second on the team in targets.
Risks...
Jake Elliott vs Commanders
- Elliott has a touch matchup against a Commanders defense that ranks 6th against fantasy kickers.
Blake Grupe vs Packers
- Grupe should have a tough game this week against a good Packers defense in the cold and without Derek Carr. The Packers rank 7th against fantasy kickers.
Will Reichard vs ?
- Reichard returned but was unremarkable. He has a tough matchup in Seattle against a Seahawks defense that ranks 7th against fantasy kickers.
Rewards...
Brandon Aubrey vs Buccaneers
- Aubrey is the #3 fantasy kicker this season and is worth starting this week.
KA'IMI FAIRBAIRN vs Chiefs
- Fairbairn has scored a lot of points this year thanks to the opportunities, but has had his fair share of misses. This week he faces a Chiefs D that ranks 5th against kickers. Still, being that he's the #2 kicker, give him a go.
Joshua Karty vs Jets
- Karty might be in store for a bounce back game as the Jets have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to kickers.
Cam Little vs Raiders
- Little might have a decent outing this week as the Raiders have allowed the most points to fantasy kickers.
Chad Ryland vs Panthers
- Ryland has a nice matchup against the Panthers who have allowed the 5th most fantasy points to kickers.
Risks...
San Francisco 49ers vs Dolphins
- The Dolphins offense has been better since Tua re-entered the picture and the 49ers defense has been a bit cool lately.
Chicago Bears vs Lions
- While the Lions will be missing David Montgomery (aka D-Mo or Knuckles), the Lions still have one of the most prolific offenses in the game and plenty of other weapons. The Bears fantasy D isn't a great bet against a team that ranks 3rd in fewest fantasy points allowed to DSTs.
Indianapolis Colts vs Titans
- If you picked up the Colts fantasy DST banking on a nice matchup against the turnover machine, Will Levis, well, Mason Rudolph will be under center. We also know right before Christmas is Rudolph's time to shine.
Washington Commanders vs Eagles
- The Commanders defense ranks in the bottom third of the league in DST scoring and has a tough matchup against the Eagles.
Dallas Cowboys vs Buccaneers
- We're not loving the banged up Cowboys chances against a pretty hot Baker Mayfield and the Bucs.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Commanders
- The Commanders have allowed the 5th fewest fantasy ppg to DSTs.
Rewards...
Cincinnati Bengals vs Browns
- The Bengals DST faces new Browns' starter DTR this week. They aren't as good of a bet without Jameis and his propensity for turnovers, but they still may turn out to be a pretty good spot play here with this matchup.
Buffalo Bills vs Patriots
- The Bills have allowed 86 points the last two weeks, but their defensive line should be able to hold things down against a suspect New England pass catching corps.
Atlanta Falcons vs Giants
- Even though Drew Lock will be the QB1 this week, the Giants offense has struggled. The Falcons may be a nice sleeper play.
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