Ask The Commish.com - Sit or Start

The last time we saw Jake Delhomme play in a meaningful game he was busy turning the ball over 6 times. No that is not a misprint... 6 times. This week he faces an Eagles defense which should be playing with some emotion as they will be missing their long time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson who passed away this summer. Keeping in mind that this defense also happened to finish in the top 5 in fewest fantasy points allowed to QBs and 2nd in total pass defense. When you put this all together Delhomme is likely to have some trouble finding open receivers against the Eagles.

Player Expected Output
Comp.	Att.	Comp %	Pass Yds	Rush Yds	TDs	INTs
17	29	59	191	2	0	1

Start Matt Hasselbeck vs St. Louis

While we have not seen tremendous things out of the Seahawks offense this year, we sit back and think about what a difference a year makes. At this point last year the Seahawks had so few healthy WRs that they picked up street free agents and were forced to play them. This year they added T.J. Houshmandzadeh, drafted Deon Butler, and have both Deion Branch and Nate Burleson healthy. This should make a big difference for the Sea-Hens, they should actually look pretty good this week. We are particularly excited about Hass's chances at posting good fantasy numbers this week since the Seahawks WRs are healthy and they face a suspect Rams secondary.

Player Expected Output
Comp.	Att.	Comp %	Pass Yds	Rush Yds	TDs	INTs
21	37	57	259	1	2	0

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Running Backs

Sit Chris Johnson vs Pittsburgh

Yes, we know that we have shouted from the highest hill the mantra that you should always start your studs, especially in Week 1. Yes, we know that you’re not going to bench your first round pick, namely Chris Johnson. But look for the opening game of the season to be a defensive slug-fest. The Steelers had the best run defense in the league last year, and not much has changed. Look for Johnson to have a subpar game, so if you are in one of those crazy leagues where you managed to land more than 2 stud RBs, we suggest that you give Johnson the week off. Oh, and leave LenDale White on your bench too, which is likely where you drafted him to be.

Player Expected Output
Att.	Yards	Rec.	Rec. Yards	TDs
13	44	2	13	0

Start Kevin Smith vs New Orleans

While Kevin Smith is far from a sure thing and he has a rookie QB under center, we still look for a good week out of him. The Lions have shown that they are more committed (than years past) to running the football and Smith is shown that he's quite a capable runner. This game against the Saints should be a scorefest. Neither team has a defense worth mentioning. We know what Brees and the Saints can do. We also know that Stafford will be in his first game, and that should mean a lot of emphasis on Kevin Smith and the running game -- not to mention in the passing game, as Smith figures to be a safe outlet for the young QB. Smith should be a great value for your team this year, and look for week one to be a great start to the season for him.

Player Expected Output
Att.	Yards	Rec.	Rec. Yards	TDs
20	96	4	30	1

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Wide Receivers

Sit Terrell Owens vs New England

There is wishful thinking -- and then there is reality. Wishful thinking is that the stage is set for T.O.'s coming out party with the Bills, as he will play on Monday night against the Patriots -- and Randy Moss. T.O. loves the big stage, right? The reality is that Buffalo's offense may be in real trouble. The offensive line is in flux with every position manned by a different starter than last year, QB Trent Edwards has looked shaky in the preseason, and 10 days before the opener the team fired their offensive coordinator. Add to that all of the practice time that T.O. has missed with a somewhat injured toe, which we suspect will affect his timing with Edwards. The myth COULD be reality, as you can always expect the unexpected with T.O., but in this game of risk versus reward, we would recommend a safer option to play this week.

Player Expected Output
Receptions	Rec. Yards	TDs
4	49	0

Start Derrick Mason vs Kansas City

D-Mas was very close to calling it quits this year and even announced that he would retire. However, the Ravens convinced him to come back. Well, the old gray beard WR came back and immediately re-established a great rapport with Joe Flacco in the preseason. Because of how well these two guys work together, we look for Mason to turn in a good game this week against the shaky Chiefs pass defense. A piece of advice moving forward: The time to get production out of Mason is now. With his limited training camp due to retirement waffling, he is still rounding into shape and could be a midseason injury risk. When the bumps and bruises start coming as well, it could make him start questioning his decision to return. Take the points now then trade high.

Player Expected Output
Receptions	Rec. Yards	TDs
7	92	1

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Tight Ends

Sit Dustin Keller vs Houston

A young QB's best friend is often the Tight End. However, being that Sanchez is making his first start for the Jets, we'd recommend that you exercise caution with over-anticipating Keller's chances at success this week. We'd sit him until we can get a better read at how the Jets offense will function.

Player Expected Output
Receptions	Rec. Yards	TDs
3	23	0

Start Zach Miller vs San Diego

Zach Miller was likely a nice steal for your fantasy team where you drafted him. He should lead the Raiders in receptions and might even have enough athleticism to lead in receiving yardage this well. While we don't expect a ton of TDs out of him (he managed only 1 last year), he has a good probability for a TD this week considering that the Chargers are the team he scored against last year. We look for really nice numbers from him this week.

Player Expected Output
Receptions	Rec. Yards	TDs
6	96	1

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Kickers

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Defense

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Schedule

Week 1
TEN vs PIT	8:30	NBC
NYJ vs HOU	1:00	CBS
MIA vs ATL	1:00
DEN vs CIN	1:00
MIN vs CLE	1:00
JAC vs IND	1:00
DET vs NO	1:00
DAL vs TB	1:00
PHI vs CAR	1:00
KC vs BAL	1:00
WAS vs NYG	4:15
SF vs ARI	4:15
STL vs SEA	4:15
CHI vs GB	8:20
BUF vs NE	7:00
SD vs OAK	10:15
Entire NFL Schedule

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